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Conflict determinants in Africa

Author

Listed:
  • J. Paul Dunne

    (School of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa)

  • Nan Tian

    (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden)

Abstract

This article considers the determinants of conflict in Africa. It revisits the greed versus grievance debate to consider the specific regional context and changing nature of conflict in Africa. This is a literature that has grown rapidly in economics and political science, but some recent developments in modeling and conceptualization are providing important new contributions. The article uses the zero-inflated ordered probit technique that deals with the problem of excess zeros in datasets, revisits the definition of conflict, and improves upon some proxy measures. It also considers the substantive as well as statistical significance of the variables. Changes in the technique used provide more support for the influence of grievance terms than given credit for with the usual probit model approach. Both greed and grievance determine conflict in Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Paul Dunne & Nan Tian, 2019. "Conflict determinants in Africa," Economics of Peace and Security Journal, EPS Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 21-31, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:epc:journl:v:14:y:2019:i:2:p:21-31
    DOI: 10.15355/epsj.14.2.21
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    File URL: http://www.epsjournal.org.uk/index.php/EPSJ/article/view/323
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Crippa, Andrea & d'Agostino, Giorgio & Dunne, Paul & Pieroni, Luca, 2022. "Conflict as a Cause of Migration," MPRA Paper 112327, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Civil war; zero-inflation model; greed; grievance; Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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