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Cognitive bias, intuitive attributes and investment decision quality in commercial real estate in Uganda

Author

Listed:
  • Moses Munyami Kinatta
  • Twaha Kigongo Kaawaase
  • John C. Munene
  • Isaac Nkote
  • Stephen Korutaro Nkundabanyanga

Abstract

Purpose - This study examines the relationship between investor cognitive bias, investor intuitive attributes and investment decision quality in commercial real estate in Uganda. Design/methodology/approach - A cross-sectional research survey was used in this study, and data were collected from 200 investors of commercial real estate in Uganda using a structured questionnaire. Hierarchical regression analysis was used to test the hypotheses derived under this study. Findings - The results indicate that investor cognitive bias and investor intuitive attributes are positive and significant determinants of investment decision quality in commercial real estate. In addition, the two components of Investor cognitive bias (framing variation and cognitive heuristics) are positive and significant determinants of investment decision quality, whereas mental accounting is a negative and significant determinant of investment decision quality. For investor intuitive attributes, confidence degree and loss aversion are positive and significant determinants of investment decision quality, whereas herding behavior is a negative and significant determinant of investment decision quality in commercial real estate in Uganda. Practical implications - For practitioners in commercial real estate sector should emphasize independent evaluation of investment opportunities (framing variation), simplify information regarding investments (Cognitive heuristics), believe in own abilities (Confidence degree), be risk averse (loss aversion) and avoid making decisions based on subjective visual mind (mental accounting) and group think/herding in order to make quality investment decisions. For policymakers, the study has illuminated factors such as provision of reliable information that ought to be taken into account when promulgating policies for regulation of the commercial real estate sector. This will help investors to come up with investment decisions which are plausible. Originality/value - Few studies have focused on investor cognitive bias and investor intuitive attributes on investment decision quality in commercial real estate. This study is the first to examine the relationship, especially in the commercial real estate sector in a developing country like Uganda.

Suggested Citation

  • Moses Munyami Kinatta & Twaha Kigongo Kaawaase & John C. Munene & Isaac Nkote & Stephen Korutaro Nkundabanyanga, 2021. "Cognitive bias, intuitive attributes and investment decision quality in commercial real estate in Uganda," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(2), pages 197-219, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jpifpp:jpif-11-2020-0129
    DOI: 10.1108/JPIF-11-2020-0129
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