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Regional house prices

Author

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  • Mats Wilhelmsson

Abstract

Purpose - The aim of this study is to investigate why housing prices differ between regions, and to estimate the speed‐of‐adjustment. Design/methodology/approach - A variety of factors explains the differences in the prices of single‐family houses. Changes in disposable income over time and across regions as well as the cost of capital are important determinants. The model is based on a DiPasquale and Wheaton model where the developments of the house prices are a function of macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, changes in employment and interest rate. It is estimated on a two‐equation error correction model: first, the long‐run price equation and, second, a short‐run price model. Findings - The estimates suggest that the speed‐of‐adjustment ranges from 16 to 78 per cent (around 50 per cent on average) depending on the region. In regions with a low population density, higher price adjustment rates are observed. Moreover, the speed‐of‐adjustment is higher in an upturn economy than in a downturn reflecting that negative housing stock adjustments is much slower than positive adjustments. Originality/value - The main contribution is that the speed‐of‐adjustment to the long‐run equilibrium price for 21 regions is estimated instead of at a national level and, furthermore, cyclical asymmetry in responses is tested and such differences are found. It is estimated that the rate of adjustment to long‐run equilibrium price varies considerably between regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mats Wilhelmsson, 2008. "Regional house prices," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(1), pages 33-51, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijhmap:v:1:y:2008:i:1:p:33-51
    DOI: 10.1108/17538270810861148
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Elias Oikarinen & Janne Engblom, 2016. "Differences in housing price dynamics across cities: A comparison of different panel model specifications," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(11), pages 2312-2329, August.
    2. Tse, Chin-Bun & Rodgers, Timothy & Niklewski, Jacek, 2014. "The 2007 financial crisis and the UK residential housing market: Did the relationship between interest rates and house prices change?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 518-530.
    3. Engerstam, Sviatlana, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of apartment prices in Swedish and German cities," Working Paper Series 20/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing; Prices; Modelling; Sweden;
    All these keywords.

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