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Modeling non-normality using multivariatet: implications for asset pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Raymond Kan
  • Guofu Zhou

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to show that multivariatet-distribution assumption provides a better description of stock return data than multivariate normality assumption. Design/methodology/approach - The EM algorithm is applied to solve the statistical estimation problem almost analytically, and the asymptotic theory is provided for inference. Findings - The authors find that the multivariate normality assumption is almost always rejected by real stock return data, while the multivariatet-distribution assumption can often be adequate. Conclusions under normality vs undertcan be drastically different for estimating expected returns and Jensen’sαs, and for testing asset pricing models. Practical implications - The results provide improved estimates of cost of capital and asset moment parameters that are useful for corporate project evaluation and portfolio management. Originality/value - The authors proposed new procedures that makes it easy to use a multivariatet-distribution, which models well the data, as a simple and viable alternative in practice to examine the robustness of many existing results.

Suggested Citation

  • Raymond Kan & Guofu Zhou, 2017. "Modeling non-normality using multivariatet: implications for asset pricing," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(1), pages 2-32, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:cfripp:cfri-10-2016-0114
    DOI: 10.1108/CFRI-10-2016-0114
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Massimo Guidolin & Martin Lozano & Juan Arismendi Zambrano, "undated". "Multifactor Empirical Asset Pricing Under Higher-Order Moment Variations," Economics Department Working Paper Series n304-20.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    2. Qiao, Zhuo & Wang, Yan & Lam, Keith S.K., 2022. "New evidence on Bayesian tests of global factor pricing models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 160-172.
    3. Chiang, I-Hsuan Ethan & Liao, Yin & Zhou, Qing, 2021. "Modeling the cross-section of stock returns using sensible models in a model pool," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 56-73.
    4. Fletcher, Jonathan, 2021. "International equity U.S. mutual funds and diversification benefits," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 246-257.
    5. Simon Hediger & Jeffrey Näf & Marc S. Paolella & Paweł Polak, 2023. "Heterogeneous tail generalized common factor modeling," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 389-420, June.
    6. Hsieh, Ming-Hua & Lee, Yi-Hsi & Shyu, So-De & Chiu, Yu-Fen, 2019. "Estimating multifactor portfolio credit risk: A variance reduction approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; α; Cost of capital; Normality; t-Distribution; C12; C13; G12;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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