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Medición no lineal de la dependencia de la inflación sobre el tipo de cambio nominal (pass-through)

Author

Listed:
  • Cruz, Salvador

    (Escuela Superior de Economía del Instituto Politécnico Nacional)

  • García, Susana

    (Escuela Superior de Economía del Instituto Politécnico Nacional)

  • Venegas-Martínez, Francisco

    (Escuela Superior de Economía del Instituto Politécnico Nacional)

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze, by using the concept of mutual information, the existing relationship between the nominal exchange rate and different inflation components. The proposed information measure captures the dependence structure between these two variables, resulting in new empirical findings not explored by previous works. Among these findings are: i) existence of bimodal bivariate distributions useful to explain regime changes, and ii) increases in dependence between the variables in low-volatility periods and decreases in dependence in uncertain environments, previously measured as pass-through. Moreover, such distributions allow studying the different transmission speeds for each inflation component.// En este trabajo se analiza, mediante el uso del concepto de información mutua, la relación existente entre el tipo de cambio nominal y los distintos componentes de la inflación. La medida de información propuesta capta la estructura de dependencia entre estas dos variables, lo que conlleva a nueva evidencia empírica no explorada por estudios previos. Entre estos resultados se encuentran: i) existencia de distribuciones bivariadas bimodales útiles para examinar cambios de régimen, y ii) aumento en la dependencia de las variables en periodos de poca volatilidad y caídas en su dependencia en ambientes de incertidumbre, previamente medido como pass-through. Asimismo, dichas distribuciones permiten estudiar las distintas velocidades de transmisión para cada componente de la inflación

Suggested Citation

  • Cruz, Salvador & García, Susana & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2015. "Medición no lineal de la dependencia de la inflación sobre el tipo de cambio nominal (pass-through)," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(325), pages .211-244, enero-mar.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:82:y:2015:i:325:p:211-244
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v82i325.145
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    pass-through; tipo de cambio; inflación; no linealidad; información mutua;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • B16 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Quantitative and Mathematical

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