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Crecimiento económico y cortes estructurales. El caso de Andalucía (1900-1999)


  • Lizárraga, Carmen.

    (Universidad de Granada.)

  • Chica-Olmo, Jorge.

    (Universidad de Granada.)


The lack of historical macroeconomic series for regional economies hinders the knowledge of explanatory factors of their economic evolution. The aim of this study is work with series on annual Gross Domestic Product for Andalusia in twentieth century. We find significant evidence that there are three structural breaks and that economic growth rate of GDP per capita was 1.64%, lower than 2.20% rate in Spain.// La falta de series macroeconómicas históricas para las economías regionales dificulta la profundización en el conocimiento de los factores explicativos de su evolución económica. En este artículo se utiliza una serie anual del producto interno bruto, estimada por la vía de la oferta, para Andalucía a lo largo del siglo XX. A partir de estas cifras se establece los cortes estructurales que se producen en esa etapa y que contribuyen a explicar el atraso económico relativo andaluz. Se encuentran tres fechas significativas de corte y los resultados obtenidos permiten establecer que la tasa de crecimiento económico medio anual del producto interno bruto al costo de los factores (PIBcf) per capita fue igual a 1.64%, lo que supone un diferencial de más de medio punto porcentual respecto al 2.20% de España.

Suggested Citation

  • Lizárraga, Carmen. & Chica-Olmo, Jorge., 2014. "Crecimiento económico y cortes estructurales. El caso de Andalucía (1900-1999)," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(321), pages 199-225, enero-mar.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:81:y:2014:i:321:p:199-225

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    crecimiento económico; cambios estructurales; estimación del PIB; Andalucía; economía regional.;

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes


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