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Medición de contagio e interdependencia financieros mediante cópulas y eventos extremos en los países de la América Latina

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  • Chirinos, Miguel

    (Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Perú)

Abstract

This paper measures the interdependency and transmission of shocks between a sample of financial markets in Latin American. Our results favor the use of copulas and extreme events theory for the computation of mutual (inter) dependence of markets. We show that these techniques provide more accurate measurements in portfolio diversification and Value-at-Risk calculations, vis-à-vis the use of correlation coefficients, which stand as the most popular instrument used in the literature.// En este artículo se mide la interrelación y trasmisión de choques que existe entre los mercados financieros de la América Latina. El indicador más utilizado ha sido el coeficiente de correlación; el principal problema de éste es que no es robusto a la heteroscedasticidad. En el trabajo empírico, muchos autores definen la mutua dependencia según el indicador y los objetivos que esperan alcanzar. Nuestro trabajo propone las cópulas y los eventos extremos como mediciones de la mutua (inter) dependencia de los mercados; estos indicadores presentan ventajas, tanto para la diversificación como del valor en riesgo (VR) de la cartera, frente al coeficiente de correlación cuando es utilizado para los fines mencionados.

Suggested Citation

  • Chirinos, Miguel, 2013. "Medición de contagio e interdependencia financieros mediante cópulas y eventos extremos en los países de la América Latina," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(317), pages 169-206, enero-mar.
    • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:80:y:2013:i:317:p:169-206
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v80i317.86
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cópulas; correlación; eventos extremos; interdependencia; contagio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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