IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/elt/journl/v77y2010i307p605-649.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Indicadores de desempeño, presión y vulnerabilidad de las finanzas públicas estatales en México

Author

Listed:
  • Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso

    (Centro de Investigación e Inteligencia Económica (CIIE) y Departamento de Economía de la Universidad Popular Autónoma del Estado de Puebla (UPAEP))

Abstract

The vulnerability and financial pressure of financial systems is a critical subject in light of the economic crisis we are currently facing. This paper defines financial pressure of local governments as the extreme situation characterized by financial imbalances, increasing current expenditure, lack of investment, excessive public debt and debt service. Using multivariate methods this paper develops six indexes that jointly measure the pressure on local public finances in Mexico for the period 2001-2007. These indexes —which by construction are not correlated with each other— capture more than 80% of the variation of public finance variables and show the ranking of each state in relation to other states in Mexico. Among the results we find a trade-off between public investment and balance surpluses and between savings and current expenditure. The hence-obtained set of indexes can be used by local officials to assess the relative condition of his state public finances in relation to others and by supervisors or regulatory bodies to asses the financial pressure experienced by state governments in Mexico.// La vulnerabilidad y presión de los sistemas financieros es un tema latente en la práctica y estudio de la economía a la luz de la crisis reciente. Este artículo define la presión financiera de los gobiernos estatales como aquella ejercida por el desequilibrio financiero, el incremento del gasto corriente, la falta de inversión, la acumulación excesiva de deuda pública y su servicio. A partir de un análisis multivariado en este artículo se desarrolla seis índices que miden en su conjunto la presión en las finanzas públicas estatales en México de 2001 a 2007. Estos índices, no correlacionados entre sí, captan más de 80% de la variabilidad estadística observada en las finanzas públicas estatales en México y muestran la posición relativa de cada entidad federativa contra el resto de los estados. Entre otros resultados se encuentran factores de finanzas públicas que confirman la existencia de una correspondencia (trade-off) entre inversión pública y superávit y entre el ahorro y el gasto ordinario. El conjunto de indicadores obtenido en este artículo puede ser usado por el funcionario local para comparar la posición relativa de su entidad respecto a otros estados y por el regulador/supervisor para determinar la presión financiera que experimentan los gobiernos subsoberanos en México.

Suggested Citation

  • Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso, 2010. "Indicadores de desempeño, presión y vulnerabilidad de las finanzas públicas estatales en México," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(307), pages 605-649, julio-sep.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:77:y:2010:i:307:p:605-649
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i307.448
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.eltrimestreeconomico.com.mx/index.php/te/article/view/448/491
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item

    Keywords

    presión financiera; vulnerabilidad; inestabilidad; gobiernos subsoberanos; componentes principales; análisis de factores; trade off; inversión pública; déficit;

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt
    • H7 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:77:y:2010:i:307:p:605-649. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Rosa María González Mejía). General contact details of provider: http://www.fondodeculturaeconomica.com/ .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.