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Investment rate, growth, and the accelerator effect in the supermultiplier model: the case of Brazil

Author

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  • Julia de Medeiros Braga

    (Associate Professor, Fluminense Federal University (UFF), Niterói, Brazil)

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of demand in the productive investment evolution in the Brazilian economy. First, it assesses the long-run relationship between the investment rate and GDP growth, taking annual data from 1962 to 2015. The paper then constructs a ‘final demand’ index and estimates its impact on the productive investment growth rate, taking quarterly data from 1996Q1 to 2017Q2, highlighting a shift in the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis. The results support two hypotheses of the supermultiplier model of Freitas and Serrano (2015) and Serrano et al. (2017) for the Brazilian economy: (i) non-capacity-creating expenditures lead productive investment; and (ii) there is a very slow adjustment of the investment rate to demand growth, as described by the flexible accelerator process.

Suggested Citation

  • Julia de Medeiros Braga, 2020. "Investment rate, growth, and the accelerator effect in the supermultiplier model: the case of Brazil," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 454-466, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:elg:rokejn:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p454-466
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. José A. Pérez‐Montiel & Carles Manera, 2022. "Is autonomous demand really autonomous in the United States? An asymmetric frequency‐domain Granger causality approach," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 78-92, February.
    2. Stephen Thompson, 2022. "“The total movement of this disorder is its order”: Investment and utilization dynamics in long‐run disequilibrium," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 638-682, May.
    3. Dvoskin, Ariel & Torchinsky Landau, Matías, 2023. "Income distribution and economic cycles in an open-economy supermultiplier model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 273-291.
    4. Guilherme Haluska & Julia Braga & Ricardo Summa, 2021. "Growth, investment share and the stability of the Sraffian Supermultiplier model in the U.S. economy (1985–2017)," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 345-364, May.
    5. Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina & Deleidi, Matteo, 2022. "Output determination and autonomous demand multipliers: An empirical investigation for the US economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    supermultiplier; demand-led growth models; final demand; flexible accelerator; Brazilian economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • B51 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Socialist; Marxian; Sraffian
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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