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Endeudamiento familiar y crecimiento económico: un patrón de crecimiento insostenible

Author

Listed:
  • Eladio Febrero Paños

    (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha)

  • Óscar Dejuán Asenjo

    (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha)

Abstract

The Spanish economy experienced a period of substantial prosperity from 1997 to mid 2007, driven by household spending on residential investment and durable consumer goods, funded out of bank debt. However, this pattern of growth was unsustainable: any given rate of growth of output required growing household indebtedness, because of rising house prices which, in turn, led to heavier debt burden service thus subtracting funds which would otherwise have gone to sustaining aggregate demand at a higher level. When household indebtedness stops growing, because its currently rocketing level, plus the rise of the interest rates, the high house prices, the saturation of the dwelling market, and the tightening of credit standards required by banks, GDP and employment shrink because of a lack of effective demand: forced saving to settle debt service is not offset by new household borrowing.

Suggested Citation

  • Eladio Febrero Paños & Óscar Dejuán Asenjo, 2009. "Endeudamiento familiar y crecimiento económico: un patrón de crecimiento insostenible," EKONOMIAZ. Revista vasca de Economía, Gobierno Vasco / Eusko Jaurlaritza / Basque Government, vol. 72(03), pages 80-97.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekz:ekonoz:2009308
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    family leverage; residential investment; economic growth.;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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