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Cálculo de VaR a partir de simulaciones Monte Carlo de rendimientos de activos financieros, con distribuciones no paramétricas y dependientes, utilizando el Método de Iman-Conover

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Sampieri Espinoza

    (Tecnológico de Monterrey)

  • Barbara Ruth Trejo Becerril

    (Grupo Financiero HSBC)

  • Luis Manuel González de Salceda Ruiz

    (Tecnológico de Monterrey)

Abstract

The main purpose of this research work is to present a Monte Carlo model focused in the simulation of vectors with financial assets returns, starting from historical empirical returns series, in which the simulated series have the same probability distributions as the empirical (no distribution is assumed a priori) and save between then the same rank correlation as the observed. The case study shows the application of the model to a portfolio constituted by 30 stocks of the Mexican IPC, for which 100,000 simulations of daily returns for each stock are performed, the frequency distribution of the portfolio is obtained, and VaR is calculated with a 99 % confidence level, for a time horizon of one day

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Sampieri Espinoza & Barbara Ruth Trejo Becerril & Luis Manuel González de Salceda Ruiz, 2014. "Cálculo de VaR a partir de simulaciones Monte Carlo de rendimientos de activos financieros, con distribuciones no paramétricas y dependientes, utilizando el Método de Iman-Conover," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 8(1), pages 37-59.
  • Handle: RePEc:ega:rafega:201403
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Simulación Monte Carlo; Método de Iman-Conover; Valor en Riesgo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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