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Logistical agility at the Strait of Hormuz: A framework for managing sustained geopolitical disruption risks in global supply chains

Author

Listed:
  • Saidi, Manaf
  • Esmaeildoost, Fatemeh
  • Khankan, Raafat
  • Masarani, Hassan
  • Toyasaki, Fuminori

Abstract

The Strait of Hormuz remains the Middle East's and one of Asia's most critical energy chokepoints, with escalating geopolitical tensions amplifying the global supply chain's antecedent vulnerabilities. This study advances logistical agility as a dynamic capability; building on Hau L. Lee's Triple-A supply chain framework, the paper develops an Anticipatory, Adaptive, Reconfigurable (AAR) extension tailored to environments characterized by continuous geopolitical uncertainty. The work further applies the proposed framework to the Strait of Hormuz. Three operational pillars are identified: Route and infrastructure diversification, Digital risk intelligence and monitoring, and Public–private coordination. The paper highlights the limits of purely reactive approaches and suggests logistical agility for managing sustained chokepoint risk. The commentary ends with propositions of relevant future-proof research areas such as scenario modeling of multi-chokepoint disruptions for improved risk mitigation. Ultimately, the main arguments revolve around how logistical agility, enabled by its three operational pillars, can support the performance of global supply chains in an era of persistent geopolitical volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Saidi, Manaf & Esmaeildoost, Fatemeh & Khankan, Raafat & Masarani, Hassan & Toyasaki, Fuminori, 2026. "Logistical agility at the Strait of Hormuz: A framework for managing sustained geopolitical disruption risks in global supply chains," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:183:y:2026:i:c:s0967070x26001782
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104168
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