IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v181y2026ics0967070x26000740.html

Will the social vulnerability index affect school bus crashes?

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Xiao
  • He, Guangxi
  • Du, Shouji
  • Guo, Zhaohua
  • Lin, Shicheng
  • Guo, Peng

Abstract

School bus crashes have become an increasingly important public concern due to its direct relationship with child transportation security and community well-being. Understanding the environmental and social factors can reduce school bus crashes, which is essential for exploring effective prevention strategies. Nevertheless, existing studies on school bus crashes often ignore spatial dependencies among communities and the combined effects of the built environment and social vulnerability factors. To address the aforementioned research gaps, this study firstly investigates the determinants of school bus crashes. We integrate the Connecticut school bus crash dataset with built environment variables and Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Subsequently, Graph Convolution Network (GCN) is applied for geographical correlation in study. Moran's index of the residuals indicates that the GCN can capture geographic correlations. Finally, spatial cross validation results prove that SVI related to racial and ethnic minorities, housing and transportation play significant roles in crash occurrence. Other factors such as population migration and land use mixture also contribute to crashes. Variable thresholds and feature importance rankings are determined by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Based on accident causation theory, this study enhances the understanding of how built environment and social vulnerability indicators jointly affect school bus crashes and offers insights for urban transport policy formulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Xiao & He, Guangxi & Du, Shouji & Guo, Zhaohua & Lin, Shicheng & Guo, Peng, 2026. "Will the social vulnerability index affect school bus crashes?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:181:y:2026:i:c:s0967070x26000740
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104064
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X26000740
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104064?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:181:y:2026:i:c:s0967070x26000740. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.