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Experiments with departure time choice dynamics of urban commuters

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  • Mahmassani, Hani S.
  • Chang, Gang-Len

Abstract

A modeling framework is presented for investigating the dynamic properties of a system of commuters located along a highway facility. The day-to-day evolution of the time-dependent user departure patterns and associated system performance are investigated in a series of simulation experiments. User departure time decisions are modeled through the use of simple heuristics, including mechanisms to incorporate the experience accumulated through repeated use of the facility. The performance of the facility given the users' decisions is obtained from a special-purpose macroscopic traffic simulation model. Alternative user choice rules and learning models are explored as to their effect on system performance and its dynamic properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahmassani, Hani S. & Chang, Gang-Len, 1986. "Experiments with departure time choice dynamics of urban commuters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 297-320, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:20:y:1986:i:4:p:297-320
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    Cited by:

    1. Bellei, Giuseppe & Gentile, Guido & Meschini, Lorenzo & Papola, Natale, 2006. "A demand model with departure time choice for within-day dynamic traffic assignment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 175(3), pages 1557-1576, December.
    2. Bhat, Chandra R. & Sardesai, Rupali, 2006. "The impact of stop-making and travel time reliability on commute mode choice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(9), pages 709-730, November.
    3. Agostino Nuzzolo & Francesco Russo & Umberto Crisalli, 2001. "A Doubly Dynamic Schedule-based Assignment Model for Transit Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 268-285, August.
    4. Navid Khademi & Mojtaba Rajabi & Afshin S. Mohaymany & Mahdi Samadzad, 2016. "Day-to-day travel time perception modeling using an adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 5(1), pages 25-52, March.
    5. Brey, Raúl & Walker, Joan L., 2011. "Latent temporal preferences: An application to airline travel," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 880-895, November.
    6. repec:eee:trapol:v:57:y:2017:i:c:p:68-78 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Jian Li & Kaan Ozbay & Bekir Bartin, 2015. "Effects of Hurricanes Irene and Sandy in New Jersey: traffic patterns and highway disruptions during evacuations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 2081-2107, September.
    8. Rapoport, Amnon & Gisches, Eyran J. & Daniel, Terry & Lindsey, Robin, 2014. "Pre-trip information and route-choice decisions with stochastic travel conditions: Experiment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 154-172.
    9. Jayakrishnan, R. & Cohen, Michael & Kim, John & Mahmassani, Hani S. & Hu, Ta-yin, 1993. "A Simulation-based Framework For The Analysis Of Traffic Networks Operating With Real-time Information," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt2t6773w7, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    10. Danczyk, Adam & Di, Xuan & Liu, Henry X. & Levinson, David M., 2017. "Unexpected versus expected network disruption: Effects on travel behavior," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 68-78.
    11. Soriguera, Francesc, 2014. "On the value of highway travel time information systems," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 294-310.
    12. He, Sylvia Y., 2013. "Does flexitime affect choice of departure time for morning home-based commuting trips? Evidence from two regions in California," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 210-221.
    13. Hamed Alibabai & Hani S. Mahmassani, 2016. "Foxes and sheep: effect of predictive logic in day-to-day dynamics of route choice behavior," EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 5(1), pages 53-67, March.
    14. Jou, Rong-Chang & Chen, Ke-Hong, 2013. "An application of cumulative prospect theory to freeway drivers’ route choice behaviours," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 123-131.
    15. Bielli, Maurizio & Reverberi, Pierfrancesco, 1996. "New operations research and artificial intelligence approaches to traffic engineering problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 550-572, August.
    16. Xie, Chi & Liu, Zugang, 2014. "On the stochastic network equilibrium with heterogeneous choice inertia," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 90-109.
    17. Theo Arentze & Harry Timmermans, 2003. "Modeling learning and adaptation processes in activity-travel choice A framework and numerical experiment," Transportation, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 37-62, February.
    18. Schwanen, Tim & Ettema, Dick, 2009. "Coping with unreliable transportation when collecting children: Examining parents' behavior with cumulative prospect theory," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 511-525, June.
    19. Xie, Litian & Olszewski, Piotr, 2011. "Modelling the effects of road pricing on traffic using ERP traffic data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 512-522, July.
    20. Xiao, Yu & Lo, Hong K., 2016. "Day-to-day departure time modeling under social network influence," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 92(PA), pages 54-72.
    21. Wong, Jinn-Tsai, 1997. "Basic concepts for a system for advance booking for highway use," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 109-114, April.
    22. Jou, Rong-Chang & Kitamura, Ryuichi & Weng, Mei-Chuan & Chen, Chih-Cheng, 2008. "Dynamic commuter departure time choice under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 774-783, June.
    23. Khattak, Asad J. & De Palma, André, 1997. "The impact of adverse weather conditions on the propensity to change travel decisions: A survey of Brussels commuters," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 181-203, May.

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