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Regional differences in residential demand for very high bandwidth broadband internet in 2025

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  • Strube Martins, Sonia
  • Wernick, Christian

Abstract

The future demand for data and the role of gigabit networks are central issues in the context of Next Generation Access (NGA) network roll-out. Based on a generic model, which allows to predict unconstrained future broadband demand in different regions and countries, the authors compare the results for Germany, the UK and the Flemish region, and discuss reasons for the different outcomes. The generic market potential model thereby allows to project the future demand for bandwidth from residential customers on the basis of applications and their bandwidth needs, user profiles and population structure on a household level. Despite a general trend towards an increasing need for broadband, there are clear differences. On the one hand, these point to the relevance of socio-demographic factors for broadband adoption. On the other hand, the relatively high proportion of refusals shows that there is still a need for further educational work on the part of public authorities and providers. Finally, it has to be stated, that our forecast relies on the assumption that connectivity and thus that the availability of area-wide gigabit capable broadband access does not represent a bottleneck.

Suggested Citation

  • Strube Martins, Sonia & Wernick, Christian, 2021. "Regional differences in residential demand for very high bandwidth broadband internet in 2025," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:telpol:v:45:y:2021:i:1:s030859612030135x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2020.102043
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    Cited by:

    1. Han, Luyi & Wojan, Timothy R. & Goetz, Stephan J., 2023. "Experimenting in the cloud: The digital divide's impact on innovation," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(7).
    2. Plückebaum, Thomas & Sörries, Bernd & Wissner, Matthias & Elbanna, Ahmed & Strube Martins, Sonia & Godlovitch, Ilsa, 2021. "Green WiFi," Study Series, WIK Wissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und Kommunikationsdienste GmbH, number 251548.

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