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Foresighting for inclusive development

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  • Andersen, Allan Dahl
  • Andersen, Per Dannemand

Abstract

We propose that foresight can contribute to inclusive development by making innovation systems more inclusive. Processes of developing future oriented innovation policies are often unsuccessful and rarely inclusive. We conceptualize such processes as foresighting. We focus on how the ex-ante design of policymaking processes affects the actual process with a focus on inclusion, and we discuss how it affects policy effectiveness and innovation system transformation. Our argument is that processes of policymaking must be inclusive to affect and transform innovation systems because a set of distributed actors, rather than ministries and innovation agencies, is the gatekeepers of change. From this perspective, inclusion is a precondition rather than an obstacle for transformation. Based on the notion of innovation system foresight, we develop an analytical framework that we use to study design and processes in foresight cases in two emerging economies: Brazil and South Korea. We conclude that better systemic and innovation oriented foresight is needed to enhance inclusive development.

Suggested Citation

  • Andersen, Allan Dahl & Andersen, Per Dannemand, 2017. "Foresighting for inclusive development," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 227-236.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:119:y:2017:i:c:p:227-236
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Dierk Bauknecht & Allan Dahl Andersen & Karoline Dunne, 2020. "Challenges for electricity network governance in Energy transitions: Insights from Norway," Working Papers on Innovation Studies 20200115, Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo.
    2. Mohammad Hossein Azin & Hessam Zandhessami, 2025. "Strategic Alignment Patterns in National AI Policies," Papers 2507.05400, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    3. Shevchenko, Yelena & Stukach, Victor, 2017. "Foresight in Strategic Planning and Technology Foresight in Kazakhstan: making Decisions about Long-term Investment in Science, International Experience," MPRA Paper 86216, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2018.
    4. Wiener, Melanie & Gattringer, Regina & Strehl, Franz, 2020. "Collaborative open foresight - A new approach for inspiring discontinuous and sustainability-oriented innovations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    5. Michael P. Schlaile & Sophie Urmetzer & Vincent Blok & Allan Dahl Andersen & Job Timmermans & Matthias Mueller & Jan Fagerberg & Andreas Pyka, 2017. "Innovation Systems for Transformations towards Sustainability? Taking the Normative Dimension Seriously," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, December.
    6. Kim, Hyunuk & Ahn, Sang-Jin & Jung, Woo-Sung, 2019. "Horizon scanning in policy research database with a probabilistic topic model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 588-594.
    7. Mao, Caixia & Koide, Ryu & Brem, Alexander & Akenji, Lewis, 2020. "Technology foresight for social good: Social implications of technological innovation by 2050 from a Global Expert Survey," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).

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