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Does technology cause business cycles in the USA? A Schumpeter-inspired approach

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  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos N.
  • Michaelides, Panayotis G.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to deal with questions of instability and economic crises, deriving theoretical arguments from Schumpeter’s works and presenting relevant empirical evidence for the case of the US manufacturing sector in the time period 1958–2006, just before the first signs of the global recession made their appearance. More precisely, we use a wide dataset that contains 473 manufacturing industries, that are clustered based on their annual change of hourly earnings per worker and we make an attempt to interpret the economic fluctuations in the clusters formed. Meanwhile, we study the causal relationships between the crucial variables dictated by Schumpeterian theory. In this context, a number of relevant techniques have been used, such as hierarchical clustering, canonical discriminant analysis, cointegration analysis, periodograms and Granger causality tests. Our findings seem to give credit to certain aspects of the Schumpeterian theory of business cycles. The results are discussed in a broader context, related to the US economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Does technology cause business cycles in the USA? A Schumpeter-inspired approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 15-26, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:43:y:2017:i:c:p:15-26
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    Cited by:

    1. Marianna Epicoco, 2021. "Technological Revolutions and Economic Development: Endogenous and Exogenous Fluctuations," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 12(3), pages 1437-1461, September.
    2. Iraj Daizadeh, 2020. "Trademark filings and patent application count time series are structurally near-identical and cointegrated: Implications for studies in innovation," Papers 2012.10400, arXiv.org.
    3. Marianna Epicoco, 2021. "Technological Revolutions and Economic Development : Endogenous and Exogenous Fluctuations," Post-Print hal-03588838, HAL.
    4. Manzoor Ahmad, 2025. "Green R&D Cycles, Innovation Disruptions, and the Interplay of Sustainable Growth and Pollution Emission Trends," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 8781-8806, June.
    5. Manzoor Ahmad & Zahoor Ul Haq & Shehzad Khan, 2024. "Business Cycles and the Dynamics of Innovation: a Theoretical Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 1418-1436, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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