IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/respol/v54y2025i8s0048733325001234.html

Policy feedbacks and socio-technical feedbacks in accelerated low-carbon transitions: An integrated conceptual framework illustrated with case studies of lighting and smart meters

Author

Listed:
  • Geels, Frank W.
  • Ayoub, Martina

Abstract

This paper aims to make two conceptual contributions to the growing research strand on policy feedbacks and socio-technical systems, which highlights that policies can generate effects in socio-technical systems that subsequently shape policymaking and strengthen policy trajectories. While policy feedbacks are relevant for understanding accelerated low-carbon transitions, the first contribution is to suggest that a fuller understanding should also include feedbacks within socio-technical systems. We therefore propose an integrated conceptual framework that opens up the black box of socio-technical systems and complements policy feedbacks with a more differentiated conceptualisation of socio-technical feedbacks between firms, users, wider publics, and technology. These socio-technical feedbacks can generate cost reductions, performance improvements, increasing confidence and investments, favourable public debates, and enhanced user adoption. We suggest and show that positive policy feedbacks as well as positive socio-technical feedbacks are needed to accelerate low-carbon transitions. The second contribution is to elaborate the moderating role of technological characteristics such as design complexity and customisation needs in positively or negatively shaping feedback loops. We apply our conceptual framework to case studies of energy efficiency lighting and smart meters in the UK, showing empirically how positive policy feedbacks and socio-technical feedbacks in the former accelerated the LED transition and led to stronger policies over time, whereas negative feedbacks in the latter case resulted in slower than anticipated diffusion and delayed deployment targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Geels, Frank W. & Ayoub, Martina, 2025. "Policy feedbacks and socio-technical feedbacks in accelerated low-carbon transitions: An integrated conceptual framework illustrated with case studies of lighting and smart meters," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(8).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:respol:v:54:y:2025:i:8:s0048733325001234
    DOI: 10.1016/j.respol.2025.105294
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048733325001234
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.respol.2025.105294?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giest, Sarah, 2020. "Making energy personal: policy coordination challenges in UK smart meter implementation," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 553-572, December.
    2. Andrew Davies, 1997. "The Life Cycle of a Complex Product System," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(03), pages 229-256.
    3. Weaver, Kent, 2010. "Paths and Forks or Chutes and Ladders?: Negative Feedbacks and Policy Regime Change," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(2), pages 137-162, August.
    4. Arthur, W Brian, 1989. "Competing Technologies, Increasing Returns, and Lock-In by Historical Events," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(394), pages 116-131, March.
    5. Roberts, Cameron & Geels, Frank W., 2019. "Conditions for politically accelerated transitions: Historical institutionalism, the multi-level perspective, and two historical case studies in transport and agriculture," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 221-240.
    6. Nelson, Richard R., 2003. "On the uneven evolution of human know-how," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 909-922, June.
    7. Smith, Sarah Josephine & Wei, Max & Sohn, Michael D., 2016. "A retrospective analysis of compact fluorescent lamp experience curves and their correlations to deployment programs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 505-512.
    8. Martinot, Eric & Borg, Nils, 1998. "Energy-efficient lighting programs: Experience and lessons from eight countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(14), pages 1071-1081, December.
    9. Wall, Rob & Crosbie, Tracey, 2009. "Potential for reducing electricity demand for lighting in households: An exploratory socio-technical study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1021-1031, March.
    10. Jonas Meckling & Thomas Sterner & Gernot Wagner, 2018. "Publisher Correction: Policy sequencing toward decarbonization," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 3(3), pages 243-243, March.
    11. Howarth, Nicholas A.A. & Rosenow, Jan, 2014. "Banning the bulb: Institutional evolution and the phased ban of incandescent lighting in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 737-746.
    12. Christiana Figueres & Hans Joachim Schellnhuber & Gail Whiteman & Johan Rockström & Anthony Hobley & Stefan Rahmstorf, 2017. "Three years to safeguard our climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 546(7660), pages 593-595, June.
    13. Aman, M.M. & Jasmon, G.B. & Mokhlis, H. & Bakar, A.H.A., 2013. "Analysis of the performance of domestic lighting lamps," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 482-500.
    14. Carsten Daugbjerg & Adrian Kay, 2020. "Policy feedback and pathways: when change leads to endurance and continuity to change," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 53(2), pages 253-268, June.
    15. Leah C. Stokes, 2016. "Electoral Backlash against Climate Policy: A Natural Experiment on Retrospective Voting and Local Resistance to Public Policy," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(4), pages 958-974, October.
    16. Matthew Lockwood, 2022. "Policy feedback and institutional context in energy transitions," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 55(3), pages 487-507, September.
    17. Buchanan, Kathryn & Banks, Nick & Preston, Ian & Russo, Riccardo, 2016. "The British public’s perception of the UK smart metering initiative: Threats and opportunities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 87-97.
    18. Michael Pahle & Dallas Burtraw & Christian Flachsland & Nina Kelsey & Eric Biber & Jonas Meckling & Ottmar Edenhofer & John Zysman, 2018. "Sequencing to ratchet up climate policy stringency," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(10), pages 861-867, October.
    19. Tobias S. Schmidt & Sebastian Sewerin, 2017. "Technology as a driver of climate and energy politics," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 1-3, June.
    20. Jens Newig, 2004. "Public Attention, Political Action: the Example of Environmental Regulation," Rationality and Society, , vol. 16(2), pages 149-190, May.
    21. Geels, Frank W., 2022. "Causality and explanation in socio-technical transitions research: Mobilising epistemological insights from the wider social sciences," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(6).
    22. Edmondson, Duncan L. & Kern, Florian & Rogge, Karoline S., 2019. "The co-evolution of policy mixes and socio-technical systems: Towards a conceptual framework of policy mix feedback in sustainability transitions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(10).
    23. Geels, F.W. & Sareen, S & Hook, A. & Sovacool, B.K., 2021. "Navigating implementation dilemmas in technology-forcing policies: A comparative analysis of accelerated smart meter diffusion in the Netherlands, UK, Norway, and Portugal (2000-2019)," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(7).
    24. Mahoney, James & Goertz, Gary, 2006. "A Tale of Two Cultures: Contrasting Quantitative and Qualitative Research," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 227-249, July.
    25. Geels, Frank W. & Kern, Florian & Fuchs, Gerhard & Hinderer, Nele & Kungl, Gregor & Mylan, Josephine & Neukirch, Mario & Wassermann, Sandra, 2016. "The enactment of socio-technical transition pathways: A reformulated typology and a comparative multi-level analysis of the German and UK low-carbon electricity transitions (1990–2014)," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 896-913.
    26. Tulia G. Falleti, 2016. "Process tracing of extensive and intensive processes," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 455-462, September.
    27. Normann, Håkon Endresen, 2017. "Policy networks in energy transitions: The cases of carbon capture and storage and offshore wind in Norway," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 80-93.
    28. Grace Skogstad, 2020. "Mixed feedback dynamics and the USA renewable fuel standard: the roles of policy design and administrative agency," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 53(2), pages 349-369, June.
    29. Kirsi Kotilainen & Pami Aalto & Jussi Valta & Antti Rautiainen & Matti Kojo & Benjamin K. Sovacool, 2019. "From path dependence to policy mixes for Nordic electric mobility: Lessons for accelerating future transport transitions," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 52(4), pages 573-600, December.
    30. Ayoub, Martina & Geels, Frank W., 2024. "What happens after positive tipping points? A socio-technical analysis of acceleration and deceleration in solar-PV diffusion in Germany and the UK," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    31. Carliss Y. Baldwin & Kim B. Clark, 2000. "Design Rules, Volume 1: The Power of Modularity," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262024667, December.
    32. Andrew Jordan & Elah Matt, 2014. "Designing policies that intentionally stick: policy feedback in a changing climate," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 47(3), pages 227-247, September.
    33. Kanger, Laur & Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Noorkõiv, Martin, 2020. "Six policy intervention points for sustainability transitions: A conceptual framework and a systematic literature review," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(7).
    34. Pamela S. Barr & Anne S. Huff, 1997. "Seeing isn’t Believing: Understanding Diversity in the Timing of Strategic Response," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 337-370, May.
    35. Menanteau, Philippe & Lefebvre, Herve, 2000. "Competing technologies and the diffusion of innovations: the emergence of energy-efficient lamps in the residential sector," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 375-389, March.
    36. Geels, Frank W., 2004. "From sectoral systems of innovation to socio-technical systems: Insights about dynamics and change from sociology and institutional theory," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6-7), pages 897-920, September.
    37. Geels, Frank W. & Ayoub, Martina, 2023. "A socio-technical transition perspective on positive tipping points in climate change mitigation: Analysing seven interacting feedback loops in offshore wind and electric vehicles acceleration," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    38. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Kivimaa, Paula & Hielscher, Sabine & Jenkins, Kirsten, 2017. "Vulnerability and resistance in the United Kingdom's smart meter transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 767-781.
    39. Huenteler, Joern & Schmidt, Tobias S. & Ossenbrink, Jan & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2016. "Technology life-cycles in the energy sector — Technological characteristics and the role of deployment for innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 102-121.
    40. Pierson, Paul, 2000. "Increasing Returns, Path Dependence, and the Study of Politics," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 94(2), pages 251-267, June.
    41. James Meadowcroft, 2009. "What about the politics? Sustainable development, transition management, and long term energy transitions," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 42(4), pages 323-340, November.
    42. Lauren Rickards & John Wiseman & Yoshi Kashima, 2014. "Barriers to effective climate change mitigation: the case of senior government and business decision makers," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(6), pages 753-773, November.
    43. Sanderson, Susan Walsh & Simons, Kenneth L., 2014. "Light emitting diodes and the lighting revolution: The emergence of a solid-state lighting industry," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(10), pages 1730-1746.
    44. Nicolas Lefèvre & Philippine de T’Serclaes & Paul Waide, 2006. "Barriers to technology diffusion: The case of compact fluorescent lamps," OECD/IEA Climate Change Expert Group Papers 2006/5, OECD Publishing.
    45. Bennett, Andrew & Elman, Colin, 2006. "Complex Causal Relations and Case Study Methods: The Example of Path Dependence," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 250-267, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Geels, Frank W. & Ayoub, Martina, 2023. "A socio-technical transition perspective on positive tipping points in climate change mitigation: Analysing seven interacting feedback loops in offshore wind and electric vehicles acceleration," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Edmondson, Duncan L. & Kern, Florian & Rogge, Karoline S., 2019. "The co-evolution of policy mixes and socio-technical systems: Towards a conceptual framework of policy mix feedback in sustainability transitions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(10).
    3. Roberts, Cameron & Geels, Frank W., 2019. "Conditions for politically accelerated transitions: Historical institutionalism, the multi-level perspective, and two historical case studies in transport and agriculture," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 221-240.
    4. Sebastian Sewerin & Daniel Béland & Benjamin Cashore, 2020. "Designing policy for the long term: agency, policy feedback and policy change," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 53(2), pages 243-252, June.
    5. McMeekin, Andrew & Geels, Frank W. & Hodson, Mike, 2019. "Mapping the winds of whole system reconfiguration: Analysing low-carbon transformations across production, distribution and consumption in the UK electricity system (1990–2016)," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 1216-1231.
    6. Haddad, Carolina R. & Bergek, Anna, 2023. "Towards an integrated framework for evaluating transformative innovation policy," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(2).
    7. Matthew Lockwood, 2022. "Policy feedback and institutional context in energy transitions," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 55(3), pages 487-507, September.
    8. Kasper Ampe & Erik Paredis & Lotte Asveld & Patricia Osseweijer & Thomas Block, 2021. "Power struggles in policy feedback processes: incremental steps towards a circular economy within Dutch wastewater policy," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 54(3), pages 579-607, September.
    9. André Sorensen & Anna-Katharina Brenner, 2021. "Cities, Urban Property Systems, and Sustainability Transitions: Contested Processes of Institutional Change and the Regulation of Urban Property Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-19, July.
    10. Ayoub, Martina & Geels, Frank W., 2024. "What happens after positive tipping points? A socio-technical analysis of acceleration and deceleration in solar-PV diffusion in Germany and the UK," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    11. Juntunen, Jouni K. & Shakeel, Shah Rukh, 2026. "Contextualizing policy mixes – A configurational study on rapid transitions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(1).
    12. Wang, Wan-Ching & Lin, Tze-Luen, 2025. "Path dependence meets export-driven decarbonization: A historical institutional analysis of Taiwan's renewable energy policies," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    13. Irja Vormedal & Jonas Meckling, 2024. "How foes become allies: the shifting role of business in climate politics," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 57(1), pages 101-124, March.
    14. Hedeler, Barbara & Hellsmark, Hans & Söderholm, Patrik, 2023. "Policy mixes and policy feedback: Implications for green industrial growth in the Swedish biofuels industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    15. Dehler-Holland, Joris & Schumacher, Kira & Fichtner, Wolf, 2021. "Topic Modeling Uncovers Shifts in Media Framing of the German Renewable Energy Act," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 2(1).
    16. Nauro Campos & Flavia Ginefra & Angelo Martelli & Alessio Terzi & Nauro F. Campos, 2026. "Institutions and Climate Change," CESifo Working Paper Series 12490, CESifo.
    17. Chen, Kaihua & Xue, Zehua & Guo, Rui & Ning, Lutao, 2025. "The holistic role of multi-level government in transformative innovation process: Theoretical framework and evidence from China," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    18. Eicke, Laima & Weko, Silvia, 2022. "Does green growth foster green policies? Value chain upgrading and feedback mechanisms on renewable energy policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    19. Käsbohrer, Andrea & Rogge, Karoline S. & Zademach, Hans-Martin, 2025. "Regulatory state capacity for accelerating net-zero transitions: Lessons learned from governing electricity storage in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    20. Franceschini, Simone & Borup, Mads & Rosales-Carreón, Jesús, 2018. "Future indoor light and associated energy consumption based on professionals' visions: A practice- and network-oriented analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1-11.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:respol:v:54:y:2025:i:8:s0048733325001234. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/respol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.