IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v256y2026ipcs0960148125017501.html

Blind‐flux, bathymetry‐enhanced stacking ensemble for rapid wave‐energy flux prediction along Oman's coast

Author

Listed:
  • Seyed-Djawadi, Mohammad Hosein
  • Nikoo, Mohammad Reza
  • Shahmiri, Amirreza
  • Siadatmousavi, Seyed Mostafa
  • Al-Saadi, Saleh
  • Sana, Ahmad
  • Bruss, Gerd

Abstract

Wave energy offers a scalable, carbon‐free resource but is hindered by costly and logistically challenging in situ measurements. We present a blind-flux, bathymetry-enhanced stacking ensemble to predict WEF along Oman's coast using only remote and reanalysis inputs. Five base learners (RF, XGBoost, CatBoost, MLP, LightGBM) were tuned via randomized search and blended by a Ridge regression meta‐learner. Stacking results were also compared with Support Vector Regression and ElasticNet meta-laerners. On a season‐stratified 80/20 split of hourly records, the ensemble achieves R2 = 0.83, RMSE = 0.151 kW/m, and MAE = 0.112 kW/m, outperforming each individual model by 8–36 %. Feature analysis shows wind drives WEF variability, while bathymetry shapes nearshore patterns. WEF peaks >0.8 kW/m during monsoon, with median ≈0.5 kW/m. Training completes in under 10 min on a standard CPU, far faster than spectral models (SWAN, WW3) and requires no direct energy inputs, making it ideal for data‐poor pre‐feasibility studies. Limitations include extreme‐event underprediction and bathymetry resolution. Future work should integrate directional spectra, physics‐informed models, and high‐resolution depth data. This work demonstrates a pragmatic, accurate, and computationally efficient framework for sustainable wave-energy resource assessment.

Suggested Citation

  • Seyed-Djawadi, Mohammad Hosein & Nikoo, Mohammad Reza & Shahmiri, Amirreza & Siadatmousavi, Seyed Mostafa & Al-Saadi, Saleh & Sana, Ahmad & Bruss, Gerd, 2026. "Blind‐flux, bathymetry‐enhanced stacking ensemble for rapid wave‐energy flux prediction along Oman's coast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:pc:s0960148125017501
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.124086
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148125017501
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2025.124086?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:pc:s0960148125017501. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.