IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v247y2025ics0960148125006093.html

Optimizing novel device configurations for perovskite solar cells: Enhancing stability and efficiency through machine learning on a large dataset

Author

Listed:
  • Kusuma, Frendy Jaya
  • Widianto, Eri
  • Wahyono,
  • Santoso, Iman
  • Sholihun,
  • Ulil Absor, Moh. Adhib
  • Sakti, Setyawan Purnomo
  • Triyana, Kuwat

Abstract

Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) have emerged as promising, cost-effective, and efficient alternatives to silicon-based solar cells, yet achieving both high stability and efficiency remains challenging. To address these challenges, we developed Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting models to optimize the stability and power conversion efficiency (PCE) of PSCs, using a large dataset from the Perovskite Database. Our models demonstrated strong predictive performance, achieving an accuracy of 0.848 in stability classification and an R2 of 0.751 for PCE prediction on the test set. Stability prediction used a classification approach, labeling devices as stable if they retained at least 80 % of their initial PCE after 1,000 h, a threshold that allows the inclusion of both T80 and E1000h data. Using the trained models, we do high-throughput screening of 29,016 new device configurations with varied cell architectures, electron transport layers, hole transport layers, and perovskite ion compositions. Among these, we identified 100 top-performing, predicted stable lead-based PSCs configurations with potential PCEs reaching up to 26.06 %, surpassing the highest stable device in the Perovskite Database, which has a PCE of 22.3 %. This study demonstrates that machine learning-driven approaches can effectively guide PSCs optimization, surpassing the performance of previously reported configurations.

Suggested Citation

  • Kusuma, Frendy Jaya & Widianto, Eri & Wahyono, & Santoso, Iman & Sholihun, & Ulil Absor, Moh. Adhib & Sakti, Setyawan Purnomo & Triyana, Kuwat, 2025. "Optimizing novel device configurations for perovskite solar cells: Enhancing stability and efficiency through machine learning on a large dataset," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0960148125006093
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.122947
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148125006093
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2025.122947?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. G. Grancini & C. Roldán-Carmona & I. Zimmermann & E. Mosconi & X. Lee & D. Martineau & S. Narbey & F. Oswald & F. De Angelis & M. Graetzel & Mohammad Khaja Nazeeruddin, 2017. "One-Year stable perovskite solar cells by 2D/3D interface engineering," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-8, August.
    2. Ju, Sucheol & Choi, Seung Ju & Sung, Hansang & Kim, Minjin & Song, Ji Won & Choi, In Woo & Kim, Hak-Beom & Jo, Yimhyun & Lee, Sangwook & Yoon, Seog-Young & Kim, Dong Suk & Lee, Heon, 2024. "High-performance and selective semi-transparent perovskite solar cells using 3D-structured FTO," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Sinha, Rupam, 2024. "A theoretical study on the insights of designing and optimization of a CsSn(IxBr1-x)3 based solar cell," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PC).
    4. Zhuang Zhang & Huanhuan Wang & T. Jesper Jacobsson & Jingshan Luo, 2022. "Big data driven perovskite solar cell stability analysis," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Noor Titan Putri Hartono & Hans Köbler & Paolo Graniero & Mark Khenkin & Rutger Schlatmann & Carolin Ulbrich & Antonio Abate, 2023. "Stability follows efficiency based on the analysis of a large perovskite solar cells ageing dataset," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Simone M. P. Meroni & Carys Worsley & Dimitrios Raptis & Trystan M. Watson, 2021. "Triple-Mesoscopic Carbon Perovskite Solar Cells: Materials, Processing and Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-37, January.
    2. Bhati, Naveen & Nazeeruddin, Mohammad Khaja & Maréchal, François, 2024. "Environmental impacts as the key objectives for perovskite solar cells optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    3. Zhang, Jingyi & Chang, Nathan & Fagerholm, Cara & Qiu, Ming & Shuai, Ling & Egan, Renate & Yuan, Chris, 2022. "Techno-economic and environmental sustainability of industrial-scale productions of perovskite solar cells," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Ali, Nasir & Rauf, Sajid & Kong, Weiguang & Ali, Shahid & Wang, Xiaoyu & Khesro, Amir & Yang, Chang Ping & Zhu, Bin & Wu, Huizhen, 2019. "An overview of the decompositions in organo-metal halide perovskites and shielding with 2-dimensional perovskites," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 160-186.
    5. Cheng Liu & Yi Yang & Kasparas Rakstys & Arup Mahata & Marius Franckevicius & Edoardo Mosconi & Raminta Skackauskaite & Bin Ding & Keith G. Brooks & Onovbaramwen Jennifer Usiobo & Jean-Nicolas Audinot, 2021. "Tuning structural isomers of phenylenediammonium to afford efficient and stable perovskite solar cells and modules," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Yehui Wen & Tianchi Zhang & Xingtao Wang & Tiantian Liu & Yu Wang & Rui Zhang & Miao Kan & Li Wan & Weihua Ning & Yong Wang & Deren Yang, 2024. "Amorphous (lysine)2PbI2 layer enhanced perovskite photovoltaics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    7. Stefania Cacovich & Guillaume Vidon & Matteo Degani & Marie Legrand & Laxman Gouda & Jean-Baptiste Puel & Yana Vaynzof & Jean-François Guillemoles & Daniel Ory & Giulia Grancini, 2022. "Imaging and quantifying non-radiative losses at 23% efficient inverted perovskite solar cells interfaces," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    8. Nieto-Díaz, Balder A. & Crossland, Andrew F. & Groves, Christopher, 2021. "A levelized cost of energy approach to select and optimise emerging PV technologies: The relative impact of degradation, cost and initial efficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    9. Mesquita, Isabel & Andrade, Luísa & Mendes, Adélio, 2018. "Perovskite solar cells: Materials, configurations and stability," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2471-2489.
    10. Wang, Qinger & Huang, Yuewu & Sun, Wenchao, 2025. "Performance analysis of a coupled concentrated spectrum splitting perovskite solar cell and thermally regenerative electrochemical cycles system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    11. Jarla Thiesbrummel & Sahil Shah & Emilio Gutierrez-Partida & Fengshuo Zu & Francisco Peña-Camargo & Stefan Zeiske & Jonas Diekmann & Fangyuan Ye & Karol P. Peters & Kai O. Brinkmann & Pietro Capriogli, 2024. "Ion-induced field screening as a dominant factor in perovskite solar cell operational stability," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 9(6), pages 664-676, June.
    12. Angelica Simbula & Luyan Wu & Federico Pitzalis & Riccardo Pau & Stefano Lai & Fang Liu & Selene Matta & Daniela Marongiu & Francesco Quochi & Michele Saba & Andrea Mura & Giovanni Bongiovanni, 2023. "Exciton dissociation in 2D layered metal-halide perovskites," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Yanqiu Wu & Shuzhang Yang & Enlong Li & Yu Liu & Feng Yuan & Jincheng Wen & Lina Hua & Wunan Wang & Yingguo Yang & Yusheng Lei & Junhao Chu & Wenwu Li, 2025. "Low-dimensional templates and delayed crystallization for high-quality tin-based perovskite films and high-performance transistors," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Paolo Mariani & Miguel Ángel Molina-García & Jessica Barichello & Marilena Isabella Zappia & Erica Magliano & Luigi Angelo Castriotta & Luca Gabatel & Sanjay Balkrishna Thorat & Antonio Esaú Rio Casti, 2024. "Low-temperature strain-free encapsulation for perovskite solar cells and modules passing multifaceted accelerated ageing tests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    15. Sajid, Sajid & Huang, Hao & Ji, Jun & Jiang, Haoran & Duan, Mingjun & Liu, Xin & Liu, Benyu & Li, Meicheng, 2021. "Quest for robust electron transporting materials towards efficient, hysteresis-free and stable perovskite solar cells," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. Xiaoming Zhao & Melissa L. Ball & Arvin Kakekhani & Tianran Liu & Andrew M. Rappe & Yueh-Lin Loo, 2022. "A charge transfer framework that describes supramolecular interactions governing structure and properties of 2D perovskites," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Fangyuan Ye & Shuo Zhang & Jonathan Warby & Jiawei Wu & Emilio Gutierrez-Partida & Felix Lang & Sahil Shah & Elifnaz Saglamkaya & Bowen Sun & Fengshuo Zu & Safa Shoaee & Haifeng Wang & Burkhard Stille, 2022. "Overcoming C60-induced interfacial recombination in inverted perovskite solar cells by electron-transporting carborane," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Raman, Rohith Kumar & Gurusamy Thangavelu, Senthil A. & Venkataraj, Selvaraj & Krishnamoorthy, Ananthanarayanan, 2021. "Materials, methods and strategies for encapsulation of perovskite solar cells: From past to present," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    19. Pengju Shi & Jiazhe Xu & Ilhan Yavuz & Tianyi Huang & Shaun Tan & Ke Zhao & Xu Zhang & Yuan Tian & Sisi Wang & Wei Fan & Yahui Li & Donger Jin & Xuemeng Yu & Chenyue Wang & Xingyu Gao & Zhong Chen & E, 2024. "Strain regulates the photovoltaic performance of thick-film perovskites," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    20. Rodolfo López-Vicente & José Abad & Javier Padilla & Antonio Urbina, 2021. "Assessment of Molecular Additives on the Lifetime of Carbon-Based Mesoporous Perovskite Solar Cells," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-12, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0960148125006093. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.