IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v263y2025ics0951832025004648.html

Mitigating domain shift problems in data-driven risk assessment models

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Yining
  • Zhang, Zhenji
  • Gong, Daqing
  • Xue, Gang

Abstract

This paper presents a domain adaptation algorithm that combines adversarial feature alignment and cycle-consistency restoration to address the domain shift problem in disaster risk assessment. By using adversarial networks, the model adapts features at the feature level, effectively leveraging unlabelled data, reducing the cost of data labelling, and minimizing the feature distribution differences between the source and target domains. Additionally, the introduction of cycle-consistency verification ensures the accuracy and consistency of feature transformation. The experimental results demonstrate that this algorithm performs exceptionally well in multiple real-world disaster risk assessment scenarios, significantly improving the accuracy and reliability of risk assessments compared with existing domain adaptation techniques. The key contributions of this research are as follows: (1) Utilizing adversarial learning to enable unsupervised domain adaptation, significantly reducing the need for labelled data and improving model adaptability in new environments; (2) introducing a training consistency-based adversarial learning method to preserve key information during domain adaptation, improving generalization in new domains; and (3) effectively addressing domain shift, enhancing model adaptability, and providing data-driven support for downstream decision-making, reducing disaster risk and resource waste. This approach not only advances disaster risk assessment but also promotes the broader application of unsupervised domain adaptation in various fields requiring fast and effective adaptation.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Yining & Zhang, Zhenji & Gong, Daqing & Xue, Gang, 2025. "Mitigating domain shift problems in data-driven risk assessment models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:263:y:2025:i:c:s0951832025004648
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2025.111263
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832025004648
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2025.111263?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huang, Wencheng & Zhang, Yue & Yu, Yaocheng & Xu, Yifei & Xu, Minhao & Zhang, Rui & De Dieu, Gatesi Jean & Yin, Dezhi & Liu, Zhanru, 2021. "Historical data-driven risk assessment of railway dangerous goods transportation system: Comparisons between Entropy Weight Method and Scatter Degree Method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    2. Tian, Jilun & Zhang, Jiusi & Jiang, Yuchen & Wu, Shimeng & Luo, Hao & Yin, Shen, 2024. "A novel generalized source-free domain adaptation approach for cross-domain industrial fault diagnosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Wang, Zifeng & Li, Suzhen, 2020. "Data-driven risk assessment on urban pipeline network based on a cluster model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    4. Yan Shang & David Dunson & Jing-Sheng Song, 2017. "Exploiting Big Data in Logistics Risk Assessment via Bayesian Nonparametrics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(6), pages 1574-1588, December.
    5. Chen, Pengfei & Zhao, Rongzhen & He, Tianjing & Wei, Kongyuan & Yuan, Jianhui, 2023. "A novel bearing fault diagnosis method based joint attention adversarial domain adaptation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    6. Daniel Suarez & Camilo Gomez & Andrés L. Medaglia & Raha Akhavan-Tabatabaei & Sthefania Grajales, 2024. "Integrated Decision Support for Disaster Risk Management: Aiding Preparedness and Response Decisions in Wildfire Management," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 35(2), pages 609-628, June.
    7. Jason R. W. Merrick & Claire A. Dorsey & Bo Wang & Martha Grabowski & John R. Harrald, 2022. "Measuring Prediction Accuracy in a Maritime Accident Warning System," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(2), pages 819-827, February.
    8. Yi‐Jen (Ian) Ho & Siyuan Liu & Jingchuan Pu & Dian Zhang, 2022. "Is it all about you or your driving? Designing IoT‐enabled risk assessments," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(11), pages 4205-4222, November.
    9. Miao, Xingyuan & Zhao, Hong & Gao, Boxuan & Song, Fulin, 2023. "Corrosion leakage risk diagnosis of oil and gas pipelines based on semi-supervised domain generalization model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    10. Zach Zhizhong Zhou & M. Eric Johnson, 2014. "Quality Risk Ratings in Global Supply Chains," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 23(12), pages 2152-2162, December.
    11. Xue, Gang & Liu, Shifeng & Ren, Long & Gong, Daqing, 2024. "Risk assessment of utility tunnels through risk interaction-based deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    12. Yang, Yang & Li, Suzhen & Zhang, Pengcheng, 2022. "Data-driven accident consequence assessment on urban gas pipeline network based on machine learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    13. He, Fei & Zhuang, Jun, 2016. "Balancing pre-disaster preparedness and post-disaster relief," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(1), pages 246-256.
    14. Ka Chung Ng & Ping Fan Ke & Mike K. P. So & Kar Yan Tam, 2023. "Augmenting fake content detection in online platforms: A domain adaptive transfer learning via adversarial training approach," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(7), pages 2101-2122, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Junqiang, 2026. "Risk resolution of airport surface based on hybrid Petri nets and inverse reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 267(PB).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Qiongfang & Xu, Nan & Ersoy, Daniel & Liu, Yongming, 2022. "Manifold-based Conditional Bayesian network for aging pipe yield strength estimation with non-destructive measurements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    2. Munim, Ziaul Haque & Sørli, Michael André & Kim, Hyungju & Alon, Ilan, 2024. "Predicting maritime accident risk using Automated Machine Learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    3. Huang, Kai & Ren, Zhijun & Zhu, Linbo & Lin, Tantao & Zhu, Yongsheng & Zeng, Li & Wan, Jin, 2025. "A three-stage bearing transfer fault diagnosis method for large domain shift scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    4. Ye, Lin & Wang, Chengyou & Zhou, Xiao & Jiang, Baocheng & Yu, Changsong & Qin, Zhiliang, 2025. "Natural gas pipeline weak leakage detection based on negative pressure wave decomposition and feature enhancement," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 257(PB).
    5. Chen, Xirui & Liu, Hui, 2025. "Domain correction for hydraulic internal pump leakage detection considering multiclass aberrant flow data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    6. Xu, Jiarui & Ji, Chunhou & Yang, Lihong & Liu, Yun & Xie, Zhiqiang & Fu, Xingfeng & Jiang, Fengshan & Liao, Mengfan & Zhao, Lei, 2025. "Urban natural gas pipeline operational vulnerability under the influence of a social spatial distribution structure: A case study of the safety risk patterns in Kunming, China," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    7. Feng Li & Qingyuan Zhu & Jun Zhuang, 2018. "Analysis of fire protection efficiency in the United States: a two-stage DEA-based approach," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 40(1), pages 23-68, January.
    8. Pu, Song & Xia, Chang, 2024. "Hybrid model for evaluating the transformation of China’s resource-based cities," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Burcu Tezcan & Tamer Eren, 2025. "Forest fire management and fire suppression strategies: a systematic literature review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(9), pages 10485-10515, May.
    10. Berger, Niklas & Schulze-Schwering, Stefan & Long, Elisa & Spinler, Stefan, 2023. "Risk management of supply chain disruptions: An epidemic modeling approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1036-1051.
    11. Sperling, Martina & Schryen, Guido, 2022. "Decision support for disaster relief: Coordinating spontaneous volunteers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 299(2), pages 690-705.
    12. Dazhou Lei & Hao Hu & Dongyang Geng & Jianshen Zhang & Yongzhi Qi & Sheng Liu & Zuo‐Jun Max Shen, 2023. "New product life cycle curve modeling and forecasting with product attributes and promotion: A Bayesian functional approach," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(2), pages 655-673, February.
    13. Izdebski, Mariusz & Jacyna-Gołda, Ilona & Gołda, Paweł, 2022. "Minimisation of the probability of serious road accidents in the transport of dangerous goods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    14. Huang, Wencheng & Yin, Dezhi & Xu, Yifei & Zhang, Rui & Xu, Minhao, 2022. "Using N-K Model to quantitatively calculate the variability in Functional Resonance Analysis Method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    15. Pratap, Suyash & Aziz, HM Abdul, 2025. "Uncertainty-cognizant post-disaster routing with progressive hedging centered multi meta-heuristic approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    16. Li, Qikang & Tang, Baoping & Deng, Lei & Yang, Qichao & Zhu, Peng, 2024. "Adaptive centroid prototype-based domain adaptation for fault diagnosis of rotating machinery without source data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    17. Haochun Yang & Yunyi Liang, 2023. "Examining the Connectivity between Urban Rail Transport and Regular Bus Transport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-14, May.
    18. Zhou, Jun & Zhu, Jiaxing & Liang, Guangchuan & Ma, Junjie & He, Jiayi & Du, Penghua & Ye, Zhanpeng, 2024. "Three-layer and robust planning models to evaluate the strategies of defense layer, attack layer, and operation layer for optimal protection in natural gas pipeline network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    19. Nishat Alam Choudhary & Shalabh Singh & Tobias Schoenherr & M. Ramkumar, 2023. "Risk assessment in supply chains: a state-of-the-art review of methodologies and their applications," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 565-607, March.
    20. Yu, Bin & Guo, Zhen & Asian, Sobhan & Wang, Huaizhu & Chen, Gang, 2019. "Flight delay prediction for commercial air transport: A deep learning approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 203-221.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:263:y:2025:i:c:s0951832025004648. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.