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How the distance between regional and human mobility behavior affect the epidemic spreading

Author

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  • Wu, Minna
  • Han, She
  • Sun, Mei
  • Han, Dun

Abstract

The distance between different regions has a lot of impact on the individuals’ mobility behavior. Meanwhile, the individuals’ mobility could greatly affect the epidemic propagation way. By researching the individuals’ mobility behavior, we establish the coupled dynamic model for individual mobility and transmission of infectious disease. The basic reproduction number is theoretically obtained according to the next-generation matrix method. Through this study, we may get that the stability state of the epidemic system will be prolonged under a higher commuting level. The infection density is almost the same in different regions over a sufficiently long time. The results show that, due to the individual movement, the origin of virus can only speed up or delay the outbreak of infectious diseases, however, it have little impact on the final infection size.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Minna & Han, She & Sun, Mei & Han, Dun, 2018. "How the distance between regional and human mobility behavior affect the epidemic spreading," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 1823-1830.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:492:y:2018:i:c:p:1823-1830
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.099
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jincheng Jiang & Jinsong Chen & Wei Tu & Chisheng Wang, 2019. "A Novel Effective Indicator of Weighted Inter-City Human Mobility Networks to Estimate Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-18, November.
    2. Yang, Jin-Xuan, 2020. "The spreading of infectious diseases with recurrent mobility of community population," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    3. Nikolaou, Paraskevas & Dimitriou, Loukas, 2020. "Identification of critical airports for controlling global infectious disease outbreaks: Stress-tests focusing in Europe," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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