IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v93y2025ics0927538x25002033.html

The effect of mutual fund herding on stock mispricing

Author

Listed:
  • Xue, Wenjun
  • He, Zhongzhi
  • Yun, Xin

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of mutual fund herding on stock mispricing in China's stock market. Our analysis shows that mutual fund herding significantly intensifies stock mispricing, particularly during periods of heightened investor sentiment. This effect is most pronounced in stocks with high mutual fund ownership, positive returns, and overvaluation. To address endogeneity concerns, we exploit two exogenous events: the Split-Share Structure Reform and the introduction of stricter mutual fund disclosure regulations in 2019. Our findings indicate that mutual fund herding significantly drives stock prices in response to these shocks, confirming its causal role in the stock mispricing. Robustness checks, including alternative model specifications and additional controls, validate the stability of our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Xue, Wenjun & He, Zhongzhi & Yun, Xin, 2025. "The effect of mutual fund herding on stock mispricing," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:93:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25002033
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102866
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X25002033
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102866?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xue, Wenjun & He, Zhongzhi & Hu, Yu, 2023. "The destabilizing effect of mutual fund herding: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Hertzel, Michael G. & Li, Zhi, 2010. "Behavioral and Rational Explanations of Stock Price Performance around SEOs: Evidence from a Decomposition of Market-to-Book Ratios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(4), pages 935-958, August.
    3. Froot, Kenneth A & Scharftstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1992. "Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1461-1484, September.
    4. Fan, Yaoyao & Song, Qinhao & Guan, Rong & Ly, Kim Cuong & Jiang, Yuxiang, 2024. "Mutual fund herding and performance: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    5. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W., 1992. "The impact of institutional trading on stock prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 23-43, August.
    6. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:1:p:83-95 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Cheung, William Ming Yan & Im, Hyun Joong & Selvam, Srinivasan, 2023. "Stock liquidity and investment efficiency: Evidence from the split-share structure reform in China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Flannery, Mark J. & Hankins, Kristine Watson, 2013. "Estimating dynamic panel models in corporate finance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-19.
    9. Kremer, Stephanie & Nautz, Dieter, 2013. "Causes and consequences of short-term institutional herding," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1676-1686.
    10. Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Kewei Hou & Tobias J. Moskowitz, 2005. "Market Frictions, Price Delay, and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 981-1020.
    12. Amil Dasgupta & Andrea Prat & Michela Verardo, 2011. "The Price Impact of Institutional Herding," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(3), pages 892-925.
    13. Han, Yufeng & Huang, Dashan & Huang, Dayong & Zhou, Guofu, 2022. "Expected return, volume, and mispricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1295-1315.
    14. Nerissa C. Brown & Kelsey D. Wei & Russ Wermers, 2014. "Analyst Recommendations, Mutual Fund Herding, and Overreaction in Stock Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(1), pages 1-20, January.
    15. Feng, Lixuan & Xiang, Cheng, 2023. "Short-selling and mutual fund herding: The Chinese evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. Gu, Chen & Guo, Xu & Zhang, Chengping, 2022. "Analyst target price revisions and institutional herding," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. James A. Ohlson, 1991. "The theory of value and earnings, and an introduction to the Ball†Brown analysis," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, September.
    18. Falkenstein, Eric G, 1996. "Preferences for Stock Characteristics as Revealed by Mutual Fund Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 111-135, March.
    19. Lin, Xudong & Zhu, Hao & Meng, Yiqun, 2023. "ESG greenwashing and equity mispricing: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    20. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    21. Li, Wencong & Yang, Xingquan & Yin, Xingqiang, 2022. "Non-state shareholders entering of state-owned enterprises and equity mispricing: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    22. Liu, Dehong & Gu, Hongmei & Lung, Peter, 2016. "The equity mispricing: Evidence from China's stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 211-223.
    23. Berkman, Henk & Dimitrov, Valentin & Jain, Prem C. & Koch, Paul D. & Tice, Sheri, 2009. "Sell on the news: Differences of opinion, short-sales constraints, and returns around earnings announcements," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 376-399, June.
    24. Avery, Christopher & Zemsky, Peter, 1998. "Multidimensional Uncertainty and Herd Behavior in Financial Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 724-748, September.
    25. Malcolm Baker & Jeremy C. Stein & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2003. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(3), pages 969-1005.
    26. Demirer, RIza & Kutan, Ali M., 2006. "Does herding behavior exist in Chinese stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 123-142, April.
    27. Li, Wei & Rhee, Ghon & Wang, Steven Shuye, 2017. "Differences in herding: Individual vs. institutional investors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 174-185.
    28. Zheng, Dazhi & Li, Huimin & Zhu, Xiaowei, 2015. "Herding behavior in institutional investors: Evidence from China’s stock market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 32, pages 59-76.
    29. Michael B. Clement & Senyo Y. Tse, 2005. "Financial Analyst Characteristics and Herding Behavior in Forecasting," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(1), pages 307-341, February.
    30. Bonaimé, Alice Adams & Öztekin, Özde & Warr, Richard S., 2014. "Capital structure, equity mispricing, and stock repurchases," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 182-200.
    31. Wen, Fenghua & Zou, Qian & Wang, Xiong, 2021. "The contrarian strategy of institutional investors in Chinese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    32. Yao, Juan & Ma, Chuanchan & He, William Peng, 2014. "Investor herding behaviour of Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 12-29.
    33. Deng, Xin & Hung, Shengmin & Qiao, Zheng, 2018. "Mutual fund herding and stock price crashes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 166-184.
    34. Rhodes-Kropf, Matthew & Robinson, David T. & Viswanathan, S., 2005. "Valuation waves and merger activity: The empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 561-603, September.
    35. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2007. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(2), pages 129-152, Spring.
    36. Zhao, Yuyang & Xiang, Cheng & Cai, Wenwu, 2021. "Stock market liberalization and institutional herding: Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connects," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    37. Mara Faccio & Maria-Teresa Marchica & Roberto Mura, 2011. "Large Shareholder Diversification and Corporate Risk-Taking," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(11), pages 3601-3641.
    38. Xu, Nianhang & Li, Xiaorong & Yuan, Qingbo & Chan, Kam C., 2014. "Excess perks and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 419-434.
    39. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    40. Ming Dong & David Hirshleifer & Scott Richardson & Siew Hong Teoh, 2006. "Does Investor Misvaluation Drive the Takeover Market?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 725-762, April.
    41. Faias, José A. & Ferreira, Miguel A., 2017. "Does institutional ownership matter for international stock return comovement?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 64-83.
    42. Baker, Malcolm & Wurgler, Jeffrey & Yuan, Yu, 2012. "Global, local, and contagious investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 272-287.
    43. Hirshleifer, David & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Titman, Sheridan, 1994. "Security Analysis and Trading Patterns When Some Investors Receive Information before Others," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1665-1698, December.
    44. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:6:p:2685-2718 is not listed on IDEAS
    45. Gregory W. Brown, 1999. "Volatility, Sentiment, and Noise Traders," Financial Analysts Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(2), pages 82-90, March.
    46. Welch, Ivo, 1992. "Sequential Sales, Learning, and Cascades," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 695-732, June.
    47. Sapienza, Paola & Polk, Christopher, 2003. "The Real Effects of Investor Sentiment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    48. Bikhchandani, Sushil & Hirshleifer, David & Welch, Ivo, 1992. "A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change in Informational Cascades," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(5), pages 992-1026, October.
    49. Lars Leszczensky & Tobias Wolbring, 2022. "How to Deal With Reverse Causality Using Panel Data? Recommendations for Researchers Based on a Simulation Study," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 51(2), pages 837-865, May.
    50. Yanna He & Muzaffarjon Ahunov, 2022. "Financial Literacy: The Case of China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(5), pages 75-101, September.
    51. Liu, Jia & Fu, Pengju & Lin, Chunyan, 2023. "Rule improvements and irrational characteristics of herd behaviour–The effects of SMT policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    52. Hudson, Yawen & Yan, Meilan & Zhang, Dalu, 2020. "Herd behaviour & investor sentiment: Evidence from UK mutual funds," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    53. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    54. Devenow, Andrea & Welch, Ivo, 1996. "Rational herding in financial economics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 603-615, April.
    55. Beltratti, Andrea & Bortolotti, Bernardo & Caccavaio, Marianna, 2016. "Stock market efficiency in China: Evidence from the split-share reform," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 125-137.
    56. LUKE DeVAULT & RICHARD SIAS & LAURA STARKS, 2019. "Sentiment Metrics and Investor Demand," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(2), pages 985-1024, April.
    57. Scharfstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1990. "Herd Behavior and Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 465-479, June.
    58. Congmin Peng & Po-Wen She & Ming-Kun Lin, 2022. "Financial Literacy and Portfolio Diversity in China," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 452-465, September.
    59. Abhijit V. Banerjee, 1992. "A Simple Model of Herd Behavior," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 797-817.
    60. Li, Changgui & Liu, Xiaowen & Hou, Zhiping & Li, Yongyi, 2023. "Retail investor attention and equity mispricing: The mediating role of earnings management," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    61. Quanxi Liang & Jiangshan Liao & Leng Ling, 2022. "Social interactions and mutual fund portfolios: the role of alumni networks in China," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(3), pages 433-450, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xue, Wenjun & He, Zhongzhi & Hu, Yu, 2023. "The destabilizing effect of mutual fund herding: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    3. Shi, Guiqiang & Shen, Dehua & Zhu, Zhaobo, 2024. "Herding towards carbon neutrality: The role of investor attention," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Li, Wei & Rhee, Ghon & Wang, Steven Shuye, 2017. "Differences in herding: Individual vs. institutional investors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 174-185.
    5. Park, Haerang & Oh, Byungmin, 2025. "Sell-side analysts and mutual fund managers: Complements or substitutes?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    6. Caglayan, Mustafa Onur & Hu, Yu & Xue, Wenjun, 2021. "Mutual fund herding and return comovement in Chinese equities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    7. Simões Vieira, Elisabete F. & Valente Pereira, Márcia S., 2015. "Herding behaviour and sentiment: Evidence in a small European market," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 78-86.
    8. Cai, Fang & Han, Song & Li, Dan & Li, Yi, 2019. "Institutional herding and its price impact: Evidence from the corporate bond market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 139-167.
    9. Wang, Xinru & Kim, Maria H. & Suardi, Sandy, 2022. "Herding and China's market-wide circuit breaker," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    10. Guo, Xu & Gu, Chen & Zhang, Chengping & Li, Shenru, 2024. "Institutional herding and investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Santi, Caterina & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2023. "Exploring style herding by mutual funds," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Zheng, Zhigang & Tang, Ke & Liu, Yaodong & Guo, Jie Michael, 2021. "Gender and herding," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 379-400.
    13. Xiaofeng Quan & Cheng Xiang & Donghui Li & Kelvin Jui Keng Tan, 2023. "To see is to believe: Corporate site visits and mutual fund herding," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(4), pages 711-740, December.
    14. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bhatnagar, Chandra Shekhar & Ramlakhan, Prakash, 2020. "Herding in the Singapore stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    15. Celiker, Umut & Chowdhury, Jaideep & Sonaer, Gokhan, 2015. "Do mutual funds herd in industries?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-16.
    16. S S S Kumar, 2022. "Institutional Herding: Causality and Persistence," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 11(2), pages 183-194, July.
    17. Marius Popescu & Zhaojin Xu, 2018. "Mutual fund herding and reputational concerns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(3), pages 550-565, July.
    18. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis & Gebka, Bartosz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Regulatory mood-congruence and herding: Evidence from cannabis stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 842-864.
    19. Fang, Hao & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2025. "Foreign institutional investor herding and ESG ratings," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    20. Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:93:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25002033. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.