IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v92y2025ics0927538x25001362.html

Digital innovation and supply chain risk: A large language model-based analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Fan, Siyu
  • Kong, Dongmin
  • Wu, Yifei
  • Yu, Honghai

Abstract

We construct a firm-level supply chain risk measure using a novel approach based on large language models (LLMs) and explore whether digital innovation impacts this risk. Our findings reveal that firms with higher levels of digital innovation exhibit significantly lower supply chain risk exposure. These results are robust and remain significant after controlling for endogeneity issues. Moreover, the mitigating effect of digital innovation is particularly pronounced in firms with greater geographical supply chain distances, higher operational complexity, extensive overseas operations, short-term relationships with partners, and those in the manufacturing sector. We further demonstrate that digital innovation enhances information sharing and improves operational efficiency, serving as potential mechanisms for supply chain risk reduction. Overall, our results emphasize the significant role of digital innovation in enhancing supply chain resilience and contribute to the expanding literature on applying LLMs in finance.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Siyu & Kong, Dongmin & Wu, Yifei & Yu, Honghai, 2025. "Digital innovation and supply chain risk: A large language model-based analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:92:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25001362
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102799
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X25001362
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102799?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Scott, Susan V. & Van Reenen, John & Zachariadis, Markos, 2017. "The long-term effect of digital innovation on bank performance: An empirical study of SWIFT adoption in financial services," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 984-1004.
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2018. "The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(6), pages 1488-1542, June.
    3. Zacharias Sautner & Laurence Van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1449-1498, June.
    4. Qiang Cheng & Fei Du & Brian Yutao Wang & Xin Wang, 2019. "Do Corporate Site Visits Impact Stock Prices?," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(1), pages 359-388, March.
    5. Tang, Christopher S., 2006. "Perspectives in supply chain risk management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 451-488, October.
    6. Forman, Chris & van Zeebroeck, Nicolas, 2019. "Digital technology adoption and knowledge flows within firms: Can the Internet overcome geographic and technological distance?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(8), pages 1-1.
    7. Nasiri, Mina & Ukko, Juhani & Saunila, Minna & Rantala, Tero, 2020. "Managing the digital supply chain: The role of smart technologies," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 96.
    8. Sundar Bharadwaj & Anandhi Bharadwaj & Elliot Bendoly, 2007. "The Performance Effects of Complementarities Between Information Systems, Marketing, Manufacturing, and Supply Chain Processes," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 18(4), pages 437-453, December.
    9. Sara Saberi & Mahtab Kouhizadeh & Joseph Sarkis & Lejia Shen, 2019. "Blockchain technology and its relationships to sustainable supply chain management," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(7), pages 2117-2135, April.
    10. Shasha Liu & Yunhao Dai & Dongmin Kong, 2017. "Does It Pay to Communicate with Firms? Evidence from Firm Site Visits of Mutual Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5-6), pages 611-645, May.
    11. Wagner, Stephan M. & Neshat, Nikrouz, 2010. "Assessing the vulnerability of supply chains using graph theory," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 121-129, July.
    12. Bing Han & Dongmin Kong & Shasha Liu, 2018. "Do Analysts Gain an Informational Advantage by Visiting Listed Companies?," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(4), pages 1843-1867, December.
    13. Hema Yoganarasimhan & Irina Iakovetskaia, 2024. "From Feeds to Inboxes: A Comparative Study of Polarization in Facebook and Email News Sharing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(9), pages 6461-6472, September.
    14. Gaspar, José-Miguel & Wang, Sumingyue & Xu, Liang, 2024. "Digitalization and the performance of non-technological firms: Evidence from the COVID-19 and natural disaster shocks," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Dmitry Ivanov & Alexandre Dolgui & Boris Sokolov, 2019. "The impact of digital technology and Industry 4.0 on the ripple effect and supply chain risk analytics," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(3), pages 829-846, February.
    16. Larcker, David F. & Rusticus, Tjomme O., 2010. "On the use of instrumental variables in accounting research," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 186-205, April.
    17. Sun, Nan & Kong, Dongmin & Tao, Yunqing, 2023. "Does broadband infrastructure affect corporate mergers and acquisitions? Quasi-natural experimental evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. Ye, Fei & Ouyang, You & Li, Yina, 2023. "Digital investment and environmental performance: The mediating roles of production efficiency and green innovation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    19. William Ho & Tian Zheng & Hakan Yildiz & Srinivas Talluri, 2015. "Supply chain risk management: a literature review," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(16), pages 5031-5069, August.
    20. Gérard P. Cachon & Marshall Fisher, 2000. "Supply Chain Inventory Management and the Value of Shared Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(8), pages 1032-1048, August.
    21. Jahanmir, Sara F. & Cavadas, Joana, 2018. "Factors affecting late adoption of digital innovations," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 337-343.
    22. Gérard P. Cachon & Taylor Randall & Glen M. Schmidt, 2007. "In Search of the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 457-479, April.
    23. Cao, Sean Shun & Jiang, Wei & Lei, Lijun (Gillian) & Zhou, Qing (Clara), 2024. "Applied AI for finance and accounting: Alternative data and opportunities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    24. Qiang Cheng & Fei Du & Xin Wang & Yutao Wang, 2016. "Seeing is believing: analysts’ corporate site visits," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1245-1286, December.
    25. Li Cui & Hao Wu & Lin Wu & Ajay Kumar & Kim Hua Tan, 2023. "Investigating the relationship between digital technologies, supply chain integration and firm resilience in the context of COVID-19," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(2), pages 825-853, August.
    26. Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
    27. Huang, Qiongyu & Xu, Chuhong & Xue, Xiaolong & Zhu, Hui, 2023. "Can digital innovation improve firm performance: Evidence from digital patents of Chinese listed firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    28. Richard Frankel & Jared Jennings & Joshua Lee, 2022. "Disclosure Sentiment: Machine Learning vs. Dictionary Methods," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(7), pages 5514-5532, July.
    29. Marcelo Olivares & Gérard P. Cachon, 2009. "Competing Retailers and Inventory: An Empirical Investigation of General Motors' Dealerships in Isolated U.S. Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(9), pages 1586-1604, September.
    30. Lin William Cong & Xiaohan Yang & Xiaobo Zhang, 2024. "Small and Medium Enterprises Amidst the Pandemic and Reopening: Digital Edge and Transformation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4564-4582, July.
    31. James Levinsohn & Amil Petrin, 2003. "Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 70(2), pages 317-341.
    32. ManMohan S. Sodhi & Christopher S. Tang, 2012. "Researchers’ Perspectives on Supply-Chain Risk Research," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Managing Supply Chain Risk, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 281-301, Springer.
    33. Ties de Kok, 2025. "ChatGPT for Textual Analysis? How to Use Generative LLMs in Accounting Research," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(9), pages 7888-7906, September.
    34. Hong, Xin & Zhuang, Zhuang & Kang, Di & Wang, Zhibin, 2019. "Do corporate site visits impact hedge fund performance?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 113-128.
    35. Tsan‐Ming Choi & Stein W. Wallace & Yulan Wang, 2018. "Big Data Analytics in Operations Management," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 27(10), pages 1868-1883, October.
    36. Wamba, Samuel Fosso & Gunasekaran, Angappa & Akter, Shahriar & Ren, Steven Ji-fan & Dubey, Rameshwar & Childe, Stephen J., 2017. "Big data analytics and firm performance: Effects of dynamic capabilities," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 356-365.
    37. Wilbur Chen & Suraj Srinivasan, 2024. "Going digital: implications for firm value and performance," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 1619-1665, June.
    38. Di (Andrew) Wu, 2024. "Text-Based Measure of Supply Chain Risk Exposure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4781-4801, July.
    39. Subodha Kumar & Rakesh R. Mallipeddi, 2022. "Impact of cybersecurity on operations and supply chain management: Emerging trends and future research directions," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(12), pages 4488-4500, December.
    40. Mohamed Ben-Daya & Elkafi Hassini & Zied Bahroun, 2019. "Internet of things and supply chain management: a literature review," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(15-16), pages 4719-4742, August.
    41. Ramanathan, Usha & Gunasekaran, Angappa, 2014. "Supply chain collaboration: Impact of success in long-term partnerships," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(PB), pages 252-259.
    42. Youngjin Yoo & Ola Henfridsson & Kalle Lyytinen, 2010. "Research Commentary ---The New Organizing Logic of Digital Innovation: An Agenda for Information Systems Research," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 21(4), pages 724-735, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Wenting & Liu, Wenxin, 2025. "Digital M&A triggers innovation: When the going gets tough, the tough get going," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fang, Jiaqi & Su, Bixiang & Wang, Shuzhen & Wang, Bin, 2026. "Uncovering the risks of digital supply chains: A large language model framework for semantic identification and validation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    2. Fan, Siyu & Wu, Yifei & Yang, Ruochen, 2025. "Measuring firm-level supply chain risk using a generative large language model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Jude Jegan Joseph Jerome & Vandana Sonwaney & David Bryde & Gary Graham, 2024. "Achieving competitive advantage through technology-driven proactive supply chain risk management: an empirical study," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 332(1), pages 149-190, January.
    4. Minhang Deng & Yunyi Wang & Gaoliang Tian & Bozhi Xu & Yuyan Tang, 2023. "Institutional investors' corporate site visits and resource extraction: Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(5), pages 5211-5243, December.
    5. Yanan Li & Wenjun Wang, 2022. "Company visits and mutual fund performance: new evidence on managerial skills," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(6), pages 504-521, October.
    6. Broadstock, David & Chen, Xiaoqi, 2021. "Corporate site visits, private monitoring and fraud: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    7. Su, Fei & Feng, Xu & Tang, Songlian, 2021. "Do site visits mitigate corporate fraudulence? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Yang, Jun & Lu, Jing & Xiang, Cheng, 2020. "Do disclosures of selective access improve market information acquisition fairness? Evidence from company visits in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Lai, Shaojie & Li, Xiaorong & Liu, Shiang & Wang, Qing Sophie, 2022. "Institutional investors’ site visits and corporate employment decision-making," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3).
    10. Ge, Jiaying & Cahan, Steven F. & Chen, Jerry W., 2024. "Curbing myopic R&D behavior: How private meetings serve as a channel," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(6).
    11. Yang, Jun & Lu, Jing & Xiang, Cheng, 2020. "Company visits and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    12. Qi, Zhen & Chu, Chien-Chi & Zhou, Yixiao & Chen, Jian, 2022. "Corporate site visits and firm performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 598-608.
    13. Lin, Yongjia & Deng, Hong & Wang, Yizhi, 2025. "Institutional investors’ site visits and corporate financialization in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    14. Liao, Ke & Si, Yi & Zhu, Xinyu, 2025. "Exceed your duty: The substitution effect of minority investor governance on institutional site visits," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    15. Liu, Huan & Hou, Canran, 2023. "The impact of institutional investors' corporate site visits on corporate social responsibility," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    16. Baibing Huang & Shaohua Tian & Yang Zhang & Huanhuan Zheng, 2025. "From Site Visits to Swift Audits: The Influence of Institutional Investors," Working Papers 202533, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
    17. Xiaoxu Ling & Siyuan Yan & Louis T. W. Cheng, 2022. "Investor relations under short‐selling pressure: Evidence from strategic signaling by company site visits," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(7-8), pages 1145-1174, July.
    18. K. Katsaliaki & P. Galetsi & S. Kumar, 2022. "Supply chain disruptions and resilience: a major review and future research agenda," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 319(1), pages 965-1002, December.
    19. Luo, Yonggen & Wu, Huiying & Ying, Sammy Xiaoyan & Peng, Qiuping, 2022. "Do company visits by institutional investors mitigate managerial myopia in R&D investment? Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    20. Yang, Xia & Ma, Zhong, 2022. "Institutional investors’ corporate site visits and dividend payouts," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 697-716.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:92:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25001362. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.