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Nonparametric time series prediction: A semi-functional partial linear modeling

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  • Aneiros-Pérez, Germán
  • Vieu, Philippe

Abstract

There is a recent interest in developing new statistical methods to predict time series by taking into account a continuous set of past values as predictors. In this functional time series prediction approach, we propose a functional version of the partial linear model that allows both to consider additional covariates and to use a continuous path in the past to predict future values of the process. The aim of this paper is to present this model, to construct some estimates and to look at their properties both from a theoretical point of view by means of asymptotic results and from a practical perspective by treating some real data sets. Although the literature on the use of parametric or nonparametric functional modeling is growing, as far as we know, this is the first paper on semiparametric functional modeling for the prediction of time series.

Suggested Citation

  • Aneiros-Pérez, Germán & Vieu, Philippe, 2008. "Nonparametric time series prediction: A semi-functional partial linear modeling," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(5), pages 834-857, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:99:y:2008:i:5:p:834-857
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Masry, Elias, 2005. "Nonparametric regression estimation for dependent functional data: asymptotic normality," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 155-177, January.
    2. Frédéric Ferraty & Aldo Goia & Philippe Vieu, 2002. "Functional nonparametric model for time series: a fractal approach for dimension reduction," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 11(2), pages 317-344, December.
    3. Aneiros-Pérez, Germán & Vieu, Philippe, 2006. "Semi-functional partial linear regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(11), pages 1102-1110, June.
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