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Limits to air travel growth: The case of infrequent flyers

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  • Graham, Anne
  • Metz, David

Abstract

Most air travel forecasts predict a long-term rise in demand, with limited consideration of any limits to growth. However for any given population there will be those who have not flown recently (‘infrequent flyers’), as well as non-flyers, and little is known about these and whether they are likely to fly in the future. The aim of this paper is to analyse the characteristics of these groups and the reasons for their travel habits, using the UK as a case study. The findings show that infrequent flyers make up a heterogeneous consumer group whose non-flying is influenced more by budget constraints and personal circumstances than specific aviation factors. Comparisons with Belgian, German and Dutch infrequent flyers indicate some similarities, although there are differences in the relative importance of the reasons for not flying. The findings have implications for the aviation industry and regulators, and policy areas related to consumers and climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Graham, Anne & Metz, David, 2017. "Limits to air travel growth: The case of infrequent flyers," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 109-120.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:62:y:2017:i:c:p:109-120
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2017.03.011
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tay T. R. Koo & David Tan & David Timothy Duval, 2018. "The Effect of Levels of Air Service Availability on Inbound tourism demand from Asia to Australia," Advances in Airline Economics, in: Airline Economics in Asia, volume 7, pages 145-167, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    2. Danica Babić & Milica Kalić & Milan Janić & Slavica Dožić & Katarina Kukić, 2022. "Integrated Door-to-Door Transport Services for Air Passengers: From Intermodality to Multimodality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-20, May.
    3. Pueyo, Salvador, 2020. "Jevons' paradox and a tax on aviation to prevent the next pandemic," SocArXiv vb5q3, Center for Open Science.
    4. Graham, Anne & Kruse, Willy & Budd, Lucy & Kremarik, Frances & Ison, Stephen, 2023. "Ageing passenger perceptions of ground access journeys to airports: A survey of UK residents," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    5. Martin Thomas Falk & Eva Hagsten, 2021. "Characteristics of Middle European Holiday Highfliers," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 6(2), pages 246-256.

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