IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/hepoli/v157y2025ics0168851025001046.html

Price regulation and competition among on-patent anticancer drugs in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Caimmi, Michele
  • Canali, Beatrice
  • Candelora, Laura
  • Di Costanzo, Alessandra
  • Fiorentino, Francesca
  • Vassallo, Chiara
  • Mancusi, Maria Luisa

Abstract

In recent years, the Italian Medicines Agency has adopted several measures aimed at curbing public pharmaceutical expenditure, including temporary and confidential price reductions, and Managed Entry Agreements. Besides, the Agency plays a pivotal role in price negotiations, serving as a tool for cost containment and financial sustainability for the Italian NHS. Our study aims at testing one potentially relevant channel for pursuing this objective and analyze if the Agency anchors the treatment cost of on-patent market entrants with those of on-patent therapeutic alternatives that previously obtained reimbursement in a given market. Our sample includes 86 anticancer indications which obtained reimbursement in Italy between March 2017 and May 2022, whose marketing authorization was granted under the centralized procedure at European level. Gathering data from multiple sources (drugs Summary of Product Characteristics, their pivotal clinical trials, and an IQVIA database on Italian negotiation dynamics), we identify competing indications within cancer site and treatment line, and then evaluate treatment costs based on median exposure to treatment in pivotal clinical trials. We retrieve prices from hospital expenditure data, which reflect discount negotiated with the regulator, tender, and commercial discounts. Our findings suggest that both the market average and the last reimbursed treatment cost significantly correlate with newly negotiated treatment costs, indicating that earlier negotiation outcomes serve as benchmarks for new ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Caimmi, Michele & Canali, Beatrice & Candelora, Laura & Di Costanzo, Alessandra & Fiorentino, Francesca & Vassallo, Chiara & Mancusi, Maria Luisa, 2025. "Price regulation and competition among on-patent anticancer drugs in Italy," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:hepoli:v:157:y:2025:i:c:s0168851025001046
    DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105348
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168851025001046
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.healthpol.2025.105348?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David H. Howard & Peter B. Bach & Ernst R. Berndt & Rena M. Conti, 2015. "Pricing in the Market for Anticancer Drugs," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 29(1), pages 139-162, Winter.
    2. Michael Schlander & Karla Hernandez-Villafuerte & Chih-Yuan Cheng & Jorge Mestre-Ferrandiz & Michael Baumann, 2021. "How Much Does It Cost to Research and Develop a New Drug? A Systematic Review and Assessment," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 39(11), pages 1243-1269, November.
    3. Daniel Tobias Michaeli & Thomas Michaeli, 2024. "Launch and Post-Launch Prices of Injectable Cancer Drugs in the US: Clinical Benefit, Innovation, Epidemiology, and Competition," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 117-131, January.
    4. Russo, Pierluigi & Carletto, Angelica & Németh, Gergely & Habl, Claudia, 2021. "Medicine price transparency and confidential managed-entry agreements in Europe: findings from the EURIPID survey," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(9), pages 1140-1145.
    5. Brekke, Kurt R. & Holmas, Tor Helge & Straume, Odd Rune, 2011. "Reference pricing, competition, and pharmaceutical expenditures: Theory and evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 624-638.
    6. Ameet Sarpatwari & Jonathan DiBello & Marie Zakarian & Mehdi Najafzadeh & Aaron S Kesselheim, 2019. "Competition and price among brand-name drugs in the same class: A systematic review of the evidence," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(7), pages 1-14, July.
    7. Granlund, David & Bergman, Mats A., 2018. "Price competition in pharmaceuticals – Evidence from 1303 Swedish markets," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-12.
    8. Daniel Tobias Michaeli & Mackenzie Mills & Panos Kanavos, 2022. "Value and Price of Multi-indication Cancer Drugs in the USA, Germany, France, England, Canada, Australia, and Scotland," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 20(5), pages 757-768, September.
    9. Pierluigi Russo & Matteo Zanuzzi & Angelica Carletto & Annalisa Sammarco & Federica Romano & Andrea Manca, 2023. "Role of Economic Evaluations on Pricing of Medicines Reimbursed by the Italian National Health Service," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 107-117, January.
    10. Z. John Lu & William S. Comanor, 1998. "Strategic Pricing Of New Pharmaceuticals," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(1), pages 108-118, February.
    11. Michaeli, Daniel Tobias & Mills, Mackenzie & Kanavos, Panos, 2022. "Value and price of multi-indication cancer drugs in the USA, Germany, France, England, Canada, Australia, and Scotland," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115720, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Roediger, Alexander & Wilsdon, Tim & Haderi, Artes & Pendleton, Kathy & Azais, Boris, 2019. "Competition between on-patent medicines in Europe," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 652-660.
    13. Charles Lindsey & Simon Sheather, 2010. "Variable selection in linear regression," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 10(4), pages 650-669, December.
    14. Simona Gamba & Paolo Pertile & Sabine Vogler, 2020. "The impact of managed entry agreements on pharmaceutical prices," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(S1), pages 47-62, October.
    15. de Belvis, Antonio Giulio & Ferrè, Francesca & Specchia, Maria Lucia & Valerio, Luca & Fattore, Giovanni & Ricciardi, Walter, 2012. "The financial crisis in Italy: Implications for the healthcare sector," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 10-16.
    16. Villa, Federico & Tutone, Michaela & Altamura, Gianluca & Antignani, Sara & Cangini, Agnese & Fortino, Ida & Melazzini, Mario & Trotta, Francesco & Tafuri, Giovanni & Jommi, Claudio, 2019. "Determinants of price negotiations for new drugs. The experience of the Italian Medicines Agency," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(6), pages 595-600.
    17. Danzon, Patricia M & Chao, Li-Wei, 2000. "Does Regulation Drive out Competition in Pharmaceutical Markets?," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 43(2), pages 311-357, October.
    18. Jean-Baptiste Trouiller & Philippe Laramée, 2023. "Comparative Assessment of Reimbursement Recommendations by NICE and HAS for Oncology New Medicines Indicated for the Treatment of Solid Tumors from 2015 to 2021," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 43(7-8), pages 961-972, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Difei Geng & Kamal Saggi, 2023. "Optimal price regulations in international pharmaceutical markets with generic competition," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kamal Saggi (ed.), Technology Transfer, Foreign Direct Investment, and the Protection of Intellectual Property in the Global Economy, chapter 18, pages 415-433, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Frank R. Lichtenberg, 2022. "The effects of dynamic and static competition on prescription drug prices in Denmark, 1997–2017," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 1155-1173, September.
    3. Frank R. Lichtenberg, 2021. "Are drug prices subject to creative destruction? Evidence from the US, 1997–2017," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(8), pages 1910-1932, August.
    4. Levaggi, Laura & Levaggi, Rosella, 2024. "Competition, value-based prices and incentives to research personalised drugs," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Wettstein, Dominik J. & Boes, Stefan, 2022. "How value-based policy interventions influence price negotiations for new medicines: An experimental approach and initial evidence," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(2), pages 112-121.
    6. Hostenkamp, Gisela, 2013. "Do follow-on therapeutic substitutes induce price competition between hospital medicines? Evidence from the Danish hospital sector," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 68-77.
    7. Patricia M. Danzon & Eric L. Keuffel, 2014. "Regulation of the Pharmaceutical-Biotechnology Industry," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Regulation and Its Reform: What Have We Learned?, pages 407-484, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Brekke, Kurt R. & Holmås, Tor Helge & Straume, Odd Rune, 2015. "Price regulation and parallel imports of pharmaceuticals," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 92-105.
    9. Verniers, Isabel & Stremersch, Stefan & Croux, Christophe, 2011. "The global entry of new pharmaceuticals: A joint investigation of launch window and price," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 295-308.
    10. Sotiris Vandoros, 2014. "Therapeutic Substitution Post‐Patent Expiry: The Cases Of Ace Inhibitors And Proton Pump Inhibitors," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 621-630, May.
    11. Brekke, Kurt R. & Dalen, Dag Morten & Straume, Odd Rune, 2022. "Paying for pharmaceuticals: uniform pricing versus two-part tariffs," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Antonio Cabrales & Sergi Jiménez‐Martín, 2013. "The Determinants Of Pricing In Pharmaceuticals: Are Us Prices Really So High?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(11), pages 1377-1397, November.
    13. Wright, Donald J., 2004. "The drug bargaining game: pharmaceutical regulation in Australia," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 785-813, July.
    14. Ito, Yuki & Hara, Konan & Kobayashi, Yasuki, 2020. "The effect of inertia on brand-name versus generic drug choices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 364-379.
    15. Donald J Wright, 2002. "The drug bargaining game: Pharmaceutical regulation in Australia, CHERE Discussion Paper No 51," Discussion Papers 51, CHERE, University of Technology, Sydney.
    16. Roediger, Alexander & Wilsdon, Tim & Haderi, Artes & Pendleton, Kathy & Azais, Boris, 2019. "Competition between on-patent medicines in Europe," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 652-660.
    17. David B. Ridley & Chung-Ying Lee, 2020. "Does Medicare Reimbursement Drive Up Drug Launch Prices?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(5), pages 980-993, December.
    18. Eduardo Costa & Carolina Santos, 2022. "Pharmaceutical pricing dynamics in an internal reference pricing system: evidence from changing drugs’ reimbursements," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 23(9), pages 1497-1518, December.
    19. Liu, Ya-Ming & Yang, Yea-Huei Kao & Hsieh, Chee-Ruey, 2012. "Regulation and competition in the Taiwanese pharmaceutical market under national health insurance," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 471-483.
    20. Michael Mueller & Alexander Frenzel, 2015. "Competitive pricing within pharmaceutical classes: evidence on “follow-on” drugs in Germany 1993–2008," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 16(1), pages 73-82, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:hepoli:v:157:y:2025:i:c:s0168851025001046. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu or the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/healthpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.