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Bundled guidance types and changes in expected volatility

Author

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  • Neururer, Thaddeus
  • Papadakis, George

Abstract

We examine how different types of bundled managerial guidance affect uncertainty levels around earnings announcements. To measure changes in uncertainty, we use both changes in implied volatilities and methods that decompose the implied volatility term structure. Unlike prior studies, we find little evidence that earnings guidance is associated with investor uncertainty. Our results instead indicate that other forms of bundled guidance are associated with lower uncertainty levels. Revenue, capital expenditure, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance are strongly associated with reductions in investor uncertainty, even when firms provide earnings guidance.

Suggested Citation

  • Neururer, Thaddeus & Papadakis, George, 2026. "Bundled guidance types and changes in expected volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:93:y:2026:i:c:s1544612326001637
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109632
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    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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