IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v351y2026ics0360544226009060.html

Interpretable few-shot prediction of cross-fuel spray dynamics: experiments, empirical correlations and machine learning insights

Author

Listed:
  • Xi, Dexiang
  • Chen, Shaobin
  • Wang, Yang
  • Sun, Xilei
  • Long, Wuqiang

Abstract

Accurate prediction of macroscopic spray characteristics is essential for clarifying fuel-air mixing and optimizing injection strategies, yet it remains challenging for evaporating sprays at high temperature/pressure because empirical correlations transfer poorly across fuels and conventional machine-learning models are sensitive under limited, strongly coupled datasets. This study addresses whether a unified, time-resolved model can predict spray penetration, cone angle and air entrainment across diesel and methanol over varying injection pressures and ambient temperatures. A high-temperature, high-pressure spray database was established from optical experiments, spanning multiple fuels, injection pressures and ambient temperatures. Building on this database, a multi-objective prediction framework was developed and Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network (TabPFN), a pre-trained prior model for few-shot tabular regression, was benchmarked against five conventional machine-learning models; model behavior was interpreted using SHapley Additive Prediction (SHAP). The results characterize the temporal evolution of diesel and methanol sprays and show that TabPFN consistently delivers the best performance, achieving RMSE values that are only 20-40% of those from traditional models and an R2 up to 0.99. SHAP analysis indicates physically plausible feature-attribution pathways. Overall, the main contribution is a comprehensive integration of an optical experimental database with few-shot, multi-objective learning and physics-consistent interpretability, enabling reliable cross-fuel spray prediction for injection design.

Suggested Citation

  • Xi, Dexiang & Chen, Shaobin & Wang, Yang & Sun, Xilei & Long, Wuqiang, 2026. "Interpretable few-shot prediction of cross-fuel spray dynamics: experiments, empirical correlations and machine learning insights," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:351:y:2026:i:c:s0360544226009060
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140803
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544226009060
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2026.140803?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:351:y:2026:i:c:s0360544226009060. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.