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Pre-trip energy-use prediction for micro electric vehicles from a single input: Driving-Profile Extraction and the Single Feature Prediction Model

Author

Listed:
  • Choi, Ingyu
  • Rah, Chongkwan
  • Kim, Minjae
  • Kim, Hyojung
  • Kim, Seong-joon

Abstract

Accurate pre-trip forecasting of energy use in micro electric vehicles (MEVs) supports planning and mitigates range uncertainty, yet many models require multi-source inputs that are unavailable before departure. We present a data-efficient framework that predicts trip energy use from a single planned input (distance) by combining a Driving-Profile Extractor (DPE) with a multi-feature predictor into the Single Feature Prediction Model (SFPM). The DPE converts planned distance into profile-based features and blends dual driving profiles through a distance-dependent weight, enabling personalized forecasts without real-time signals. We further quantify uncertainty via bootstrap prediction intervals, and derive two actionable outputs: available driving range for a given battery state and trip success probability at the planning stage. Using real-world MEV logs across multiple vehicle models and trip-distance regimes, SFPM captures vehicle-specific driving characteristics and delivers stable, high-accuracy predictions with calibrated intervals. The results indicate that a single-input, profile-generation approach can provide practical, reproducible, and uncertainty-aware forecasts suited to pre-trip decisions and subsequent analysis. The framework is readily extensible to fleet-level applications and integration with charging or routing tools.

Suggested Citation

  • Choi, Ingyu & Rah, Chongkwan & Kim, Minjae & Kim, Hyojung & Kim, Seong-joon, 2025. "Pre-trip energy-use prediction for micro electric vehicles from a single input: Driving-Profile Extraction and the Single Feature Prediction Model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:340:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225049357
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.139293
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