The Ahearne paper demonstrates that the current nuclear industry is unlikely to expand to the extent required to stabilize GHG concentrations by 2050. It is conceivable, however, that adequate expansion could occur on the basis of advanced reactor designs, internationalized control of fuel cycle services and fundamentally altered security relationships among the nuclear weapon states. Those enabling developments can only occur if the underlying problem of global warming acquires greater priority than it currently enjoys, but there are imaginable developments that could produce such an outcome.
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