IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v149y2025ics0140988325005407.html

“Green BRICS”: How artificial intelligence can build the explicit structure and implicit order of energy transition

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Wei
  • Zhang, Yunjia
  • Lan, Xuling
  • Song, Malin

Abstract

In the context of global warming, artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly playing a key role for the BRICS countries in energy transition strategies and practices aimed at combating climate change. AI facilitates the decarbonization of energy systems, while also influencing wider aspects of energy transition, including energy governance, energy equity, and energy security. This paper examines the effects and mechanisms of AI on explicit energy transition (EET) and implicit energy transition (IET) by analyzing panel data from the BRICS between 2005 and 2019. It uses a two-way fixed effects regression model to investigate these relationships, as well as to assess spillover and threshold effects. The result indicates that AI has a significant promoting effect on both EET and IET, and the positive impact of AI on EET can be achieved through the promotion of IET. Secondly, natural resource dependence (NRD) negatively moderates the relationship between AI and EET as well as between AI and IET, while knowledge production (KP) positively moderates the relationship between AI and IET. The moderation effects of NRD on the AI-EET relationship and KP on the AI-IET relationship display nonlinear traits. Finally, due to the unbalanced development of AI, its application currently shows negative spillover effects on energy transition within the BRICS. These findings provide valuable policy insights for the BRICS and other countries pursuing energy transition goals.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Yunjia & Lan, Xuling & Song, Malin, 2025. "“Green BRICS”: How artificial intelligence can build the explicit structure and implicit order of energy transition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:149:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325005407
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108713
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988325005407
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108713?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Huaping & Edziah, Bless Kofi & Kporsu, Anthony Kwaku & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "Energy efficiency: The role of technological innovation and knowledge spillover," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    2. Zhu, Qingyuan & Sun, Chenhao & Xu, Chengzhen & Geng, Qianqian, 2025. "The impact of artificial intelligence on global energy vulnerability," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 15-27.
    3. Mohammed Basheer & Victor Nechifor & Alvaro Calzadilla & Claudia Ringler & David Hulme & Julien J. Harou, 2022. "Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Su, Chi Wei & Song, Xin Yue & Dou, Junyi & Qin, Meng, 2025. "Fossil fuels or renewable energy? The dilemma of climate policy choices," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    5. Che, Shuai & Wang, Jun, 2022. "Policy effectiveness of market-oriented energy reform: Experience from China energy-consumption permit trading scheme," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    6. Johan Schot & Laur Kanger & Geert Verbong, 2016. "The roles of users in shaping transitions to new energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(5), pages 1-7, May.
    7. Wang, Bo & Wang, Jianda & Dong, Kangyin & Nepal, Rabindra, 2024. "How does artificial intelligence affect high-quality energy development? Achieving a clean energy transition society," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    8. Mehrara, Mohsen, 2009. "Reconsidering the resource curse in oil-exporting countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1165-1169, March.
    9. Zhou, Sheng & Tong, Qing & Pan, Xunzhang & Cao, Min & Wang, Hailin & Gao, Ji & Ou, Xunmin, 2021. "Research on low-carbon energy transformation of China necessary to achieve the Paris agreement goals: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    10. Amjad Almusaed & Ibrahim Yitmen & Asaad Almssad, 2023. "Enhancing Smart Home Design with AI Models: A Case Study of Living Spaces Implementation Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
    11. Su, Xiang & Tan, Junlan, 2023. "Regional energy transition path and the role of government support and resource endowment in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    12. Anis Omri & Fateh Belaïd, 2021. "Does renewable energy modulate the negative effect of environmental issues on the socio-economic welfare?," Post-Print hal-03271499, HAL.
    13. Auty, Richard M., 1994. "Industrial policy reform in six large newly industrializing countries: The resource curse thesis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 11-26, January.
    14. Su, Chi-Wei & Yang, Shengyao & Dumitrescu Peculea, Adelina & Ioana Biţoiu, Teodora & Qin, Meng, 2024. "Energy imports in turbulent eras: Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    15. Deyu Li & Gaston Heimeriks & Floor Alkemade, 2020. "The emergence of renewable energy technologies at country level: relatedness, international knowledge spillovers and domestic energy markets," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(9), pages 991-1013, October.
    16. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2024. "The investment of renewable energy: Is green bond a safe-haven to hedge U.S. monetary policy uncertainty?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    17. Hao, Yu & Gai, Zhiqiang & Wu, Haitao, 2020. "How do resource misallocation and government corruption affect green total factor energy efficiency? Evidence from China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    18. repec:aen:journl:2006se-a05 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Wei, Tie & Pan, Huaihong & Duan, Zhicheng & Xie, Pin, 2024. "New energy technology innovation and energy poverty alleviation in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    20. Niet, Irene & Van den Berghe, Laura & van Est, Rinie, 2023. "Societal impacts of AI integration in the EU electricity market: The Dutch case," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    21. Qin, Meng & Wan, Yue & Dou, Junyi & Su, Chi Wei, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence: Intensifying or mitigating unemployment?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    22. Baland, Jean-Marie & Francois, Patrick, 2000. "Rent-seeking and resource booms," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 527-542, April.
    23. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi Wei & Rehman, Ashfaq U. & Ullah, Rahman, 2022. "Is technological innovation a driver of renewable energy?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    24. Lars Coenen & Teis Hansen & Amy Glasmeier & Robert Hassink, 2021. "Regional foundations of energy transitions," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 14(2), pages 219-233.
    25. Gao, Lan & Wang, Jing, 2025. "Can artificial intelligence reduce energy vulnerability? Evidence from an international perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    26. Dong, Zequn & Tan, Chaodan & Ma, Biao & Ning, Zhaoshuo, 2024. "The impact of artificial intelligence on the energy transition: The role of regulatory quality as a guardrail, not a wall," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    27. Oskenbayev, Yessengali & Yilmaz, Mesut & Abdulla, Kanat, 2013. "Resource concentration, institutional quality and the natural resource curse," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 254-270.
    28. Zeba, Gordana & Dabić, Marina & Čičak, Mirjana & Daim, Tugrul & Yalcin, Haydar, 2021. "Technology mining: Artificial intelligence in manufacturing," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    29. Can Zhang & Umra Waris & Leren Qian & Muhammad Irfan & Mubeen Abdur Rehman, 2024. "Unleashing the dynamic linkages among natural resources, economic complexity, and sustainable economic growth: Evidence from G‐20 countries," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 3736-3752, August.
    30. Child, Michael & Breyer, Christian, 2017. "Transition and transformation: A review of the concept of change in the progress towards future sustainable energy systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 11-26.
    31. Robinson, James A. & Torvik, Ragnar & Verdier, Thierry, 2006. "Political foundations of the resource curse," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 447-468, April.
    32. Yuan, Dongliang & Shang, Duo & Ma, Yufei & Li, Dehui, 2022. "The Spillover Effects of Peer Annual Report Tone for Firm Innovation Investment: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    33. Gaston Heimeriks & Deyu Li & Wout Lamers & Ingeborg Meijer & Alfredo Yegros, 2019. "Scientific knowledge production in European regions: patterns of growth, diversity and complexity," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(11), pages 2123-2143, November.
    34. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Wang, Kun & Nepal, Rabindra, 2024. "How does artificial intelligence promote renewable energy development? The role of climate finance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    35. Lyu, Wenjing & Liu, Jin, 2021. "Artificial Intelligence and emerging digital technologies in the energy sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    36. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Fang, Yuzhu & Quan, Shiyun & Li, Xinghao, 2024. "Leveraging the power of artificial intelligence toward the energy transition: The key role of the digital economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    37. Moralles, Herick Fernando & do Nascimento Rebelatto, Daisy Aparecida, 2016. "The effects and time lags of R&D spillovers in Brazil," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 148-155.
    38. Shilpa Rao & Ilkka Keppo & Keywan Riahi, 2006. "Importance of Technological Change and Spillovers in Long-Term Climate Policy," The Energy Journal, , vol. 27(1_suppl), pages 123-140, January.
    39. Halit Yanıkkaya & Taner Turan, 2018. "Curse or Blessing? An Empirical Re‐examination of Natural Resource‐Growth Nexus," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(8), pages 1455-1473, November.
    40. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yan, Jingyang, 2024. "Will artificial intelligence make energy cleaner? Evidence of nonlinearity," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    41. Atsushi Iimi, 2007. "Escaping from the Resource Curse: Evidence from Botswana and the Rest of the World," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 54(4), pages 663-699, November.
    42. Shonali Pachauri & Miguel Poblete-Cazenave & Arda Aktas & Matthew J. Gidden, 2021. "Access to clean cooking services in energy and emission scenarios after COVID-19," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(11), pages 1067-1076, November.
    43. Song, Yuegang & Wang, Ziqi & Song, Changqing & Wang, Jianhua & Liu, Rong, 2024. "Impact of artificial intelligence on renewable energy supply chain vulnerability: Evidence from 61 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    44. Wong, Chan-Yuan & Keng, Zi-Xiang & Mohamad, Zeeda Fatimah & Azizan, Suzana Ariff, 2016. "Patterns of technological accumulation: The comparative advantage and relative impact of Asian emerging economies in low carbon energy technological systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 977-987.
    45. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Qin, Shuai & Li, Yaya, 2022. "Does industrial robot application promote green technology innovation in the manufacturing industry?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    46. Thorvaldur Gylfason, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: From Dependence to Diversification," Springer Books, in: Harry G. Broadman & Tiiu Paas & Paul J.J. Welfens (ed.), Economic Liberalization and Integration Policy, pages 201-231, Springer.
    47. Thorvaldur Gylfason & Gylfi Zoega, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: The Role of Investment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(8), pages 1091-1115, August.
    48. Daniel Balsalobre‐Lorente & Oana M. Driha & George Halkos & Shekhar Mishra, 2022. "Influence of growth and urbanization on CO2 emissions: The moderating effect of foreign direct investment on energy use in BRICS," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 227-240, February.
    49. Chandra, Praveena & Dong, Andy, 2018. "The relation between knowledge accumulation and technical value in interdisciplinary technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 235-244.
    50. Zhang, Xiaojing & Khan, Khalid & Shao, Xuefeng & Oprean-Stan, Camelia & Zhang, Qian, 2024. "The rising role of artificial intelligence in renewable energy development in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    51. Zhou, Wei & Zhuang, Yan & Chen, Yan, 2024. "How does artificial intelligence affect pollutant emissions by improving energy efficiency and developing green technology," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    52. Anne D. Boschini & Jan Pettersson & Jesper Roine, 2007. "Resource Curse or Not: A Question of Appropriability," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 109(3), pages 593-617, September.
    53. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Tianhui, 2024. "The impact of renewable energy policies on the energy transition -– An empirical analysis of Chinese cities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    54. Wang, Yajun & Yuan, Zheng & Luo, Hanyu & Zeng, Hui & Huang, Junbing & Li, Yulin, 2024. "Promoting low-carbon energy transition through green finance: New evidence from a demand-supply perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    55. Tao, Weiliang & Weng, Shimei & Chen, Xueli & ALHussan, Fawaz Baddar & Song, Malin, 2024. "Artificial intelligence-driven transformations in low-carbon energy structure: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    56. Sjödin, David & Parida, Vinit & Kohtamäki, Marko & Wincent, Joakim, 2020. "An agile co-creation process for digital servitization: A micro-service innovation approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 478-491.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdulmonaem Essed & Kolawole Iyiola & Ahmad Alzubi, 2025. "Unpacking Artificial Intelligence’s Role in the Energy Transition: The Mediating and Moderating Roles of Knowledge Production and Financial Development," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-19, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gao, Xiangming & Ji, Xinliang & Wang, Rong & Yu, Jian, 2025. "The effect of artificial intelligence on energy transition: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    2. Shao, Mingxing & Wen, Lei & Li, Sifei & Huang, Binyue, 2025. "Exploring the role of artificial intelligence as a catalyst for energy technology innovation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Zhang, Wenwen & Fu, Shuai & Chiu, Yi-Bin & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling, 2025. "Artificial intelligence, digital inclusive finance, and financial performance: Dynamic threshold insights from renewable energy enterprises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Li, Zhengzheng & Xing, Youze & Shao, Xuefeng & Zhong, Yifan & Su, Yun Hsuan, 2025. "Transitioning the energy landscape: AI's role in shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    5. Zhu, Qingyuan & Sun, Chenhao & Xu, Chengzhen & Geng, Qianqian, 2025. "The impact of artificial intelligence on global energy vulnerability," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 15-27.
    6. Niu, Xiaotong & Lin, Changao & He, Shanshan & Yang, Youcai, 2025. "Artificial intelligence and enterprise pollution emissions: From the perspective of energy transition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    7. Lotfalipour, Mohammad Reza & sargolzaie, Ali & Salehnia, Narges, 2022. "Natural resources: A curse on welfare?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Wang, Qiang & Zhang, Siqi & Li, Rongrong, 2026. "Artificial intelligence in the renewable energy transition: The critical role of financial development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 226(PA).
    9. Gao, Lan & Wang, Jing, 2025. "Can artificial intelligence reduce energy vulnerability? Evidence from an international perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    10. Zheng, Huanyu & Wu, Jie & Li, Runze & Song, Yanwu, 2025. "The role of artificial intelligence in renewable energy development: Insights from less developed economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Li, Wen & Li, Jing-Ping & Wang, Yun-Feng & Stan, Sebastian-Emanuel, 2025. "Is artificial intelligence an impediment or an impetus to renewable energy investment? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    12. Dong, Zequn & Tan, Chaodan & Ma, Biao & Ning, Zhaoshuo, 2024. "The impact of artificial intelligence on the energy transition: The role of regulatory quality as a guardrail, not a wall," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Mohsen Mehrara, Mohsen & Alhosseini, Seyedmohammadsadegh & Bahramirad, Duman, 2008. "Resource curse and institutional quality in oil countries," MPRA Paper 16456, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2009.
    14. Li, Cong & Zhang, Yue & Liu, Xihua & Sun, Jiawen, 2025. "Does artificial intelligence promote green technology innovation in the energy industry?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    15. Fang, Yuzhu & Lee, Chi-Chuan & Li, Xinghao, 2025. "Assessing the impact of artificial intelligence on the transition to renewable energy? Analysis of U.S. states under policy uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    16. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zou, Jinyang & Chen, Pei-Fen, 2025. "The impact of artificial intelligence on the energy consumption of corporations: The role of human capital," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    17. Laszlo Szalai, 2018. "Institutions and Resource-driven Development," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 39-53, June.
    18. Sun, Xiaohua & Ren, Junlin & Wang, Yun, 2022. "The impact of resource taxation on resource curse: Evidence from Chinese resource tax policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Huo, Da & Gu, Wenjia & Guo, Dongmei & Tang, Aidi, 2024. "The service trade with AI and energy efficiency: Multiplier effect of the digital economy in a green city by using quantum computation based on QUBO modeling," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    20. Tsopmo, Pierre Christian & Mbouombouo Vessah, Salim Ahmed & Soumtang Bime, Valentine & Mondjeli Mwa Ndjokou, Itchoko Motande, 2024. "Do African countries avoid the curse of natural resources on social cohesion?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:149:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325005407. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.