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The impact of China's manufacturing industry transfer on the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emissions reduction: An empirical analysis using a spatial panel model

Author

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  • Shao, Changhua
  • Lv, Chengchao
  • Ning, Jiajun
  • Gao, Yuan
  • Cui, Yue

Abstract

This study applies the DEA-SBM model to assess the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emission reduction across thirty provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2012 to 2021. It explores the evolving trends of this efficiency at both national and regional levels, including the eastern, central, western, and northeastern areas. The manufacturing industry in China is segmented into labor-intensive, capital-intensive, and technology-intensive categories. A spatial matrix is devised to empirically investigate the spatial spillover effects of these industrial transfers on the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emission reduction, utilizing panel data. The findings reveal a disparity in the comprehensive efficiency of carbon reduction among different regions within the study period, with the eastern region demonstrating superior performance compared to the central, western, and northeastern regions. However, an overall upward trend is observed at both national and regional scales. The study identifies a positive spatiotemporal correlation in the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emission reduction across China. Regression analyses using the spatial Durbin model indicate that the relocation of labor-intensive industries negatively affects the improvement of comprehensive efficiency in related areas, whereas the transfer of capital-intensive industries enhances it. Conversely, the impact of technology-intensive industry transfers on comprehensive efficiency appears negligible. Further analysis of the econometric model's regression results highlights significant indirect and total effects of shifts from labor-intensive and capital-intensive industries. Specifically, the former exerts a negative influence on the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emission reduction, while the latter promotes its enhancement.

Suggested Citation

  • Shao, Changhua & Lv, Chengchao & Ning, Jiajun & Gao, Yuan & Cui, Yue, 2025. "The impact of China's manufacturing industry transfer on the comprehensive efficiency of pollution and carbon emissions reduction: An empirical analysis using a spatial panel model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:148:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325004517
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108624
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