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On the life of species: Mathematically modelling the taxon cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Machado, João P.G.
  • de Oliveira, Vinícius P.

Abstract

The taxon cycle hypothesis provided a conceptual framework for the cyclical stages of geographic range expansion, habitat specialization, and eventual range contraction leading to species extinction. Despite its historical significance, the taxon cycle has remained a conceptual model due to the absence of a quantitative framework. This study bridges this gap by developing a comprehensive mathematical model that integrates population structure, adaptation, speciation, and biogeographical range mechanisms. This model is designed to offer an easy-to-use, consilient framework to be applied across taxa and biogeographical scales as a null model for general taxon dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Machado, João P.G. & de Oliveira, Vinícius P., 2025. "On the life of species: Mathematically modelling the taxon cycle," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 508(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:508:y:2025:i:c:s0304380025002194
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111233
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    References listed on IDEAS

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