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Slope consistency of quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for binary choice models

Author

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  • Chang, Yoosoon
  • Park, Joon Y.
  • Yan, Guo

Abstract

Although QMLE is generally inconsistent, logistic regression relying on the binary choice model (BCM) with logistic errors is widely used, especially in machine learning contexts with many covariates. This paper revisits the slope consistency of QMLE for BCMs. Ruud (1983) introduced a set of conditions under which QMLE may yield a constant multiple of the slope coefficient of BCMs asymptotically. However, he did not fully establish the slope consistency of QMLE, which requires the existence of a positive multiple of the true slope that maximizes the population QMLE likelihood over an appropriately restricted parameter space. We close this gap by providing a formal proof of slope consistency under the same set of conditions for BCMs identified as in Manski (1975, 1985). Our result implies that, under suitable conditions, logistic regression yields a consistent estimate of the slope coefficient for BCMs.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Yoosoon & Park, Joon Y. & Yan, Guo, 2026. "Slope consistency of quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for binary choice models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:263:y:2026:i:c:s0165176526001266
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112932
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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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