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Role of ECX futures in carbon pricing: Intraday evidence from EU-ETS

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  • Vadhava, Charu

Abstract

This study investigates the price discovery and volatility spillover between ECX spot and futures prices using high-frequency data for the fourth phase of EU-ETS. The analysis reveals the higher contribution of ECX futures in price formation. Furthermore, volatility spillover analysis shows that volatility transmission occurs predominantly from ECX futures to the spot market, making the ECX futures market a shock (information) transmitter and the spot market a shock (information) receiver in net terms. The informativeness of ECX futures in carbon pricing can be attributed to higher liquidity, higher trading volume, and the presence of informed institutional traders in the ECX futures market.

Suggested Citation

  • Vadhava, Charu, 2025. "Role of ECX futures in carbon pricing: Intraday evidence from EU-ETS," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:253:y:2025:i:c:s0165176525002381
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112401
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    1. Abinzano, Isabel & Corredor, Pilar & Mansilla-Fernández, José Manuel, 2026. "Physical climate risk and banks’ credit risk: Worldwide evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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