IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolec/v241y2026ics0921800925003490.html

Climate extreme events and climate change are enforced by extortionate freeriders overloading those who mitigate – An economic experiment

Author

Listed:
  • Milinski, Manfred
  • Innocenti, Stefania

Abstract

Climate extremes have become more frequent and severe due to excessive human emissions, yet it remains unclear whether the threat of costly hazards spurs collective mitigation. In a laboratory experiment, groups of six players contributed individually toward a collective target that, if unmet, triggered a simulated climate catastrophe and forfeiture of their endowment. Some groups also faced intermediate climate events, avoidable through sufficient mitigation to prevent costly losses. Although many groups suffered from losses, they reached the final target as often as the control groups without simulated climate events. Player behavior had two variants: “fair players”, who consistently contributed their share, and “extortioners”, who free-rode and forced others to compensate for their lack of contribution. Groups were randomly composed of participants, whose observed behavior revealed between 0 and 5 individuals acting as extortioners. When extortion became overwhelming, fair players failed to absorb the deficit, groups missed the target and steadfast extortioners incurred losses too. Extortioners disregarded losses and accumulated a large gain while fair players earned little. Nonetheless, fair players' best response was to accede to extortion and cover the deficit. Extortion decreased mitigation across all conditions. Our findings may help to illustrate mechanisms also relevant in the real world where individual actions e.g., leisure travel on giant cruise ships or running power plants with coal, and much else, ultimately prevent collective success. In 2024, global CO2 emissions and temperatures reached record highs, stressing the inability of fair players to compensate the deficit caused by freeriders. This dynamic suggests that the persistence of climate change stems from the unwavering behavior of extortioners in contexts outside of the laboratory.

Suggested Citation

  • Milinski, Manfred & Innocenti, Stefania, 2026. "Climate extreme events and climate change are enforced by extortionate freeriders overloading those who mitigate – An economic experiment," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:241:y:2026:i:c:s0921800925003490
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108866
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800925003490
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108866?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christina Demski & Stuart Capstick & Nick Pidgeon & Robert Gennaro Sposato & Alexa Spence, 2017. "Experience of extreme weather affects climate change mitigation and adaptation responses," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 149-164, January.
    2. Farjam, Mike & Nikolaychuk, Olexandr & Bravo, Giangiacomo, 2019. "Experimental evidence of an environmental attitude-behavior gap in high-cost situations," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Simon L. Lewis & Charlotte E. Wheeler & Edward T. A. Mitchard & Alexander Koch, 2019. "Restoring natural forests is the best way to remove atmospheric carbon," Nature, Nature, vol. 568(7750), pages 25-28, April.
    4. Peter D. Howe, 2018. "Perceptions of seasonal weather are linked to beliefs about global climate change: evidence from Norway," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 148(4), pages 467-480, June.
    5. Gopal Murali & Takuya Iwamura & Shai Meiri & Uri Roll, 2023. "Publisher Correction: Future temperature extremes threaten land vertebrates," Nature, Nature, vol. 614(7949), pages 46-46, February.
    6. Jennifer Jacquet & Kristin Hagel & Christoph Hauert & Jochem Marotzke & Torsten Röhl & Manfred Milinski, 2013. "Intra- and intergenerational discounting in the climate game," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(12), pages 1025-1028, December.
    7. Ockenfels, Axel & Gallier, Carlo & Sturm, Bodo, 2024. "More frequent commitments promote cooperation, ratcheting does not," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-065, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Urs Fischbacher & Simon Gachter, 2010. "Social Preferences, Beliefs, and the Dynamics of Free Riding in Public Goods Experiments," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(1), pages 541-556, March.
    9. repec:cla:levarc:786969000000001297 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Goeschl, Timo & Kettner, Sara Elisa & Lohse, Johannes & Schwieren, Christiane, 2020. "How much can we learn about voluntary climate action from behavior in public goods games?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    11. Gopal Murali & Takuya Iwamura & Shai Meiri & Uri Roll, 2023. "Future temperature extremes threaten land vertebrates," Nature, Nature, vol. 615(7952), pages 461-467, March.
    12. Hembach-Stunden, Katharina & Vorlaufer, Tobias & Engel, Stefanie, 2024. "Threshold ambiguity and sustainable resource management: A lab experiment," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    13. Fischbacher, Urs & Gachter, Simon & Fehr, Ernst, 2001. "Are people conditionally cooperative? Evidence from a public goods experiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 397-404, June.
    14. Emanuele Bevacqua & Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Jakob Zscheischler, 2025. "A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 15(3), pages 262-265, March.
    15. Anne M. Valkengoed & Wokje Abrahamse & Linda Steg, 2022. "To select effective interventions for pro-environmental behaviour change, we need to consider determinants of behaviour," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 6(11), pages 1482-1492, November.
    16. Manfred Milinski & Jochem Marotzke, 2022. "Economic experiments support Ostrom’s polycentric approach to mitigating climate change," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    17. Alpízar, F. & Gsottbauer, E., 2015. "Reputation and household recycling practices: Field experiments in Costa Rica," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 366-375.
    18. Lutz Becks & Manfred Milinski, 2019. "Extortion strategies resist disciplining when higher competitiveness is rewarded with extra gain," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
    19. E. M. Fischer & R. Knutti, 2015. "Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(6), pages 560-564, June.
    20. Jochem Marotzke & Dirk Semmann & Manfred Milinski, 2020. "The economic interaction between climate change mitigation, climate migration and poverty," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(6), pages 518-525, June.
    21. Dim Coumou & Stefan Rahmstorf, 2012. "A decade of weather extremes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(7), pages 491-496, July.
    22. Bettina Rockenbach & Manfred Milinski, 2006. "The efficient interaction of indirect reciprocity and costly punishment," Nature, Nature, vol. 444(7120), pages 718-723, December.
    23. repec:osf:socarx:5wxrs_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Christian Hilbe & Kristin Hagel & Manfred Milinski, 2016. "Asymmetric Power Boosts Extortion in an Economic Experiment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-14, October.
    25. Gallier, Carlo & Sturm, Bodo, 2021. "The ratchet effect in social dilemmas," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 251-268.
    26. A. M. Valkengoed & G. Perlaviciute & L. Steg, 2022. "Relationships between climate change perceptions and climate adaptation actions: policy support, information seeking, and behaviour," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(1), pages 1-20, March.
    27. Zhijian Wang & Yanran Zhou & Jaimie W. Lien & Jie Zheng & Bin Xu, 2016. "Extortion Can Outperform Generosity in the Iterated Prisoners' Dilemma," Levine's Bibliography 786969000000001297, UCLA Department of Economics.
    28. Talbot M. Andrews & Andrew W. Delton & Reuben Kline, 2018. "High-risk high-reward investments to mitigate climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(10), pages 890-894, October.
    29. Anne M. van Valkengoed & Linda Steg, 2019. "Meta-analyses of factors motivating climate change adaptation behaviour," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(2), pages 158-163, February.
    30. Reuben Kline & Nicholas Seltzer & Evgeniya Lukinova & Autumn Bynum, 2018. "Differentiated responsibilities and prosocial behaviour in climate change mitigation," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 2(9), pages 653-661, September.
    31. Paul M. Lohmann & Andreas Kontoleon, 2023. "Do Flood and Heatwave Experiences Shape Climate Opinion? Causal Evidence from Flooding and Heatwaves in England and Wales," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 86(1), pages 263-304, October.
    32. Hasson, Reviva & Löfgren, Åsa & Visser, Martine, 2010. "Climate change in a public goods game: Investment decision in mitigation versus adaptation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 331-338, December.
    33. Zhijian Wang & Yanran Zhou & Jaimie W. Lien & Jie Zheng & Bin Xu, 2016. "Extortion can outperform generosity in the iterated prisoner’s dilemma," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-7, September.
    34. W. Neil Adger & Jon Barnett & Katrina Brown & Nadine Marshall & Karen O'Brien, 2013. "Cultural dimensions of climate change impacts and adaptation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(2), pages 112-117, February.
    35. Manfred Milinski & Christian Hilbe & Dirk Semmann & Ralf Sommerfeld & Jochem Marotzke, 2016. "Humans choose representatives who enforce cooperation in social dilemmas through extortion," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, April.
    36. Ernst Fehr & Simon Gächter, 2002. "Altruistic punishment in humans," Nature, Nature, vol. 415(6868), pages 137-140, January.
    37. Ruud Zaalberg & Cees Midden & Anneloes Meijnders & Teddy McCalley, 2009. "Prevention, Adaptation, and Threat Denial: Flooding Experiences in the Netherlands," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(12), pages 1759-1778, December.
    38. Aron Szekely & Francesca Lipari & Alberto Antonioni & Mario Paolucci & Angel Sánchez & Luca Tummolini & Giulia Andrighetto, 2021. "Evidence from a long-term experiment that collective risks change social norms and promote cooperation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-7, December.
    39. Vernon L. Smith, 1994. "Economics in the Laboratory," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 113-131, Winter.
    40. Urs Fischbacher, 2007. "z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 10(2), pages 171-178, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martin, Lucie & Timmons, Shane & Lunn, Pete, 2026. "How well do economic games model collective climate action? A scoping review," Papers WP823, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Martin, Lucie & Timmons, Shane & Lunn, Pete, 2026. "How well do economic games model collective climate action? A scoping review," Papers WP823, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    2. Manfred Milinski & Jochem Marotzke, 2022. "Economic experiments support Ostrom’s polycentric approach to mitigating climate change," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Kang, Kai & Tian, Jinyan & Zhang, Boyu, 2024. "Cooperation and control in asymmetric repeated games," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 470(C).
    4. Felix Koelle & Thomas Lauer, 2018. "Cooperation, Discounting, and the Effects of Delayed Costs and Benefits," Discussion Papers 2018-10, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
    5. David M. McEvoy & Tobias Haller & Esther Blanco, 2022. "The Role of Non-Binding Pledges in Social Dilemmas with Mitigation and Adaptation," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 81(4), pages 685-710, April.
    6. Felix Kölle & Thomas Lauer, 2024. "Understanding Cooperation in an Intertemporal Context," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 7791-7810, November.
    7. repec:cgr:cgsser:06-02 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:cgr:cgsser:03-11 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Jonathan E Bone & Brian Wallace & Redouan Bshary & Nichola J Raihani, 2016. "Power Asymmetries and Punishment in a Prisoner’s Dilemma with Variable Cooperative Investment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, May.
    10. Theodore Eisenberg & Christoph Engel, 2012. "Assuring Adequate Deterrence in Tort: A Public Good Experiment," Discussion Paper Series of the Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics 2012_07, Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics.
    11. Alessandro Del Ponte & Aidas Masiliūnas & Noah Lim, 2023. "Information about historical emissions drives the division of climate change mitigation costs," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-8, December.
    12. Kenju Kamei, 2019. "The power of joint decision-making in a finitely-repeated dilemma," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(3), pages 600-622.
    13. Hoeft, Leonard & Mill, Wladislaw, 2024. "Abuse of power," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 305-324.
    14. Weng, Qian & Carlsson, Fredrik, 2015. "Cooperation in teams: The role of identity, punishment, and endowment distribution," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 25-38.
    15. Miriam Al Lily, 2023. "Establishing human connections: experimental evidence from the helping game," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 52(3), pages 805-832, September.
    16. Christoph Engel & Lilia Zhurakhovska, 2013. "Do Explicit Reasons Make Legal Intervention More Effective? An Experimental Study," Discussion Paper Series of the Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics 2013_16, Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics, revised Mar 2018.
    17. Annarita Colasante & Aurora García-Gallego & Nikolaos Georgantzis & Andrea Morone, 2020. "Voluntary contributions in a system with uncertain returns: a case of systemic risk," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 111-132, January.
    18. Auerswald, Heike & Schmidt, Carsten & Thum, Marcel & Torsvik, Gaute, 2018. "Teams in a public goods experiment with punishment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 28-39.
    19. Engel, Christoph & Kube, Sebastian & Kurschilgen, Michael, 2021. "Managing expectations: How selective information affects cooperation and punishment in social dilemma games," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 111-136.
    20. Hyoyoung Kim & Doruk İriş & Jinkwon Lee & Alessandro Tavoni, 2025. "Representation, Peer Pressure and Punishment in a Public Goods Game," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(5), pages 1407-1433, May.
    21. Simon Gaechter & Benedikt Herrmann, 2008. "Reciprocity, culture, and human cooperation: Previous insights and a new cross-cultural experiment," Discussion Papers 2008-14, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
    22. Kölle, Felix & Quercia, Simone, 2021. "The influence of empirical and normative expectations on cooperation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 691-703.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:241:y:2026:i:c:s0921800925003490. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolecon .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.