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The impact of local supply of upper secondary field of study

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  • Edmark, Karin

Abstract

This study evaluates the effects on students' educational and labour market trajectories of centrally determined local supply variations in upper secondary educational fields in Sweden. The main conclusion is that although increased supply improved access to upper secondary tracks, there is no clear evidence that students' long-term labour market outcomes were affected. An analysis of intermediate outcomes suggests that supply changes affected aspects such as class size, school peer composition, and students’ upper secondary application behaviour. There are also signs of spill-over effects across fields – that an increase in one field leads to a reduction in admissions to another. Some of these intermediate impacts plausibly have negative effects on students’ long-term labour market outcomes and others positive. Such counteracting forces may explain the lack of any clear impact on long-term labour market outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Edmark, Karin, 2025. "The impact of local supply of upper secondary field of study," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecoedu:v:108:y:2025:i:c:s0272775725000676
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2025.102687
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    JEL classification:

    • I - Health, Education, and Welfare
    • J - Labor and Demographic Economics

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