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Do better capitalized and bigger banks recover faster from a pandemic-led shock? Evidence from US Banks’ lending behavior

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  • Augeraud-Véron, E.
  • Boungou, W.
  • Gupta, P.

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (and vaccination rollout) on banks’ lending behavior. Using a theoretical model and an empirical study based on data from 4,995 US banks between 2019Q2 and 2022Q1, we find that mortality rates and new infections significantly reduce mortgage and commercial lending, albeit to a different degree. Nevertheless, we show empirically, for the first time in the literature on health shocks, that post-vaccination recovery from pandemic-induced shocks is faster for large size banks and better capital buffers. These results provide key insights for policy makers and financial institutions, highlighting that the specific characteristics of banks play an important role in shaping responses to the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Augeraud-Véron, E. & Boungou, W. & Gupta, P., 2025. "Do better capitalized and bigger banks recover faster from a pandemic-led shock? Evidence from US Banks’ lending behavior," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:151:y:2025:i:c:s0264999325001749
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107179
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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development

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