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OECD labour share trends: Factor efficiency vs. market distortions in a neoclassical framework

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  • Del Río, Fernando
  • Rebelo, Francisco

Abstract

We find that, for the vast majority of the 29 OECD countries, capital efficiency has declined, while labour efficiency has increased. Moreover, capital and labour exhibit a relatively high degree of complementarity. On average, countries with a larger relative decline in capital efficiency have also experienced a greater decline in the labour share. This pattern is consistent with the neoclassical theory of functional income distribution: if capital and labour are gross complements, a decline in the relative efficiency of capital reduces the demand for labour, thereby lowering equilibrium wages and the labour share. In some countries — including the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia — this mechanism can accurately account for much of the observed evolution in the labour share, while in others — including the three largest European economies (Germany, France and Italy) — market frictions and distortions affecting labour demand have played a more prominent role. Policies aimed at halting the decline in capital efficiency, or mitigating market frictions and distortions, can therefore enhance productivity and support wage growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Del Río, Fernando & Rebelo, Francisco, 2025. "OECD labour share trends: Factor efficiency vs. market distortions in a neoclassical framework," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 2554-2591.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:87:y:2025:i:c:p:2554-2591
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.08.044
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    JEL classification:

    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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