IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecanpo/v87y2025icp1212-1231.html

Tax enforcement and corporate overinvestment: Evidence from China’s STB-LTB merger

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Yan
  • Wu, Fang

Abstract

This paper investigates whether and how tax enforcement affects corporate overinvestment in China by exploiting the merger of the State Tax Bureau (STB) and Local Tax Bureau (LTB) as a quasi-natural experiment. The results show that tougher tax enforcement helps inhibit corporate overinvestment. The effect is particularly pronounced in three distinct contexts: (1) non-SOEs, (2) regions with greater government market intervention, and (3) firms with weaker corporate governance structures. Furthermore, the mechanism tests suggest that breaking implicit contracts and reducing tax benefits are two possible channels through which the merger affects corporate overinvestment. Additionally, several alternative explanations are ruled out. Overall, our findings suggest that tax enforcement significantly restricts corporate overinvestment, which provides useful insights for improving corporate investment efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Yan & Wu, Fang, 2025. "Tax enforcement and corporate overinvestment: Evidence from China’s STB-LTB merger," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1212-1231.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:87:y:2025:i:c:p:1212-1231
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.07.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592625002826
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eap.2025.07.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Huiming & Li, Lianshui & Zhou, Dequn & Zhou, Peng, 2014. "Political connections, government subsidies and firm financial performance: Evidence from renewable energy manufacturing in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 330-336.
    2. Indrarini Laksmana & Ya-wen Yang, 2015. "Product market competition and corporate investment decisions," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(2), pages 128-148, May.
    3. Hoang, Khanh & Arif, Muhammad & Nguyen, Cuong, 2022. "Corporate investment and government policy during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 677-696.
    4. Biddle, Gary C. & Hilary, Gilles & Verdi, Rodrigo S., 2009. "How does financial reporting quality relate to investment efficiency?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2-3), pages 112-131, December.
    5. Fan, Ziying & Liu, Yu, 2020. "Tax Compliance and Investment Incentives: Firm Responses to Accelerated Depreciation in China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 1-17.
    6. Ulrike Malmendier & Geoffrey Tate, 2005. "CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2661-2700, December.
    7. Fan, Joseph P.H. & Wong, T.J. & Zhang, Tianyu, 2007. "Politically connected CEOs, corporate governance, and Post-IPO performance of China's newly partially privatized firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 330-357, May.
    8. Sihai Li & Xianzhong Song & Huiying Wu, 2015. "Political Connection, Ownership Structure, and Corporate Philanthropy in China: A Strategic-Political Perspective," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 129(2), pages 399-411, June.
    9. Cao, Xun & Kleit, Andrew & Liu, Chuyu, 2016. "Why invest in wind energy? Career incentives and Chinese renewable energy politics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 120-131.
    10. Ulrike Malmendier & Geoffrey Tate, 2005. "Does Overconfidence Affect Corporate Investment? CEO Overconfidence Measures Revisited," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 11(5), pages 649-659, November.
    11. Rajkovic, Tijana, 2020. "Lead independent directors and investment efficiency," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    12. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tee, Chwee Ming & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2020. "Do different types of political connections affect corporate investments? Evidence from Malaysia," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    13. Guo, Yixuan & Wang, Jian & Wang, Heng & Zhang, Fan, 2024. "The impact of big data tax collection and management on inefficient investment of enterprises — A quasi-natural experiment based on the golden tax project III," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 678-689.
    14. Liu, Guangqiang & Yang, Zhiqing & Zhang, Fan & Zhang, Nan, 2022. "Environmental tax reform and environmental investment: A quasi-natural experiment based on China's Environmental Protection Tax Law," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    15. Liu, Lihua & Weng, Danyan & Zhang, Qin, 2023. "Unintended consequences of tax enforcement on corporate innovation: Evidence from a natural experiment in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1292-1309.
    16. Ganguly, Kousik & Mishra, Ajay Kumar & Parikh, Bhavik, 2023. "Do Political connections influence investment decisions? Evidence from India," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    17. Yu, Xiaojun & Yao, Yao & Zheng, Huanhuan & Zhang, Lin, 2020. "The role of political connection on overinvestment of Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. Chung-Hua Shen & Chih-Yung Lin, 2016. "Political connections, financial constraints, and corporate investment," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 343-368, August.
    19. Indrarini Laksmana & Ya-wen Yang, 2015. "Product market competition and corporate investment decisions," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(2), pages 128-148, May.
    20. James D. Gwartney & Randall G. Holcombe & Robert A. Lawson, 2006. "Institutions and the Impact of Investment on Growth," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(2), pages 255-273, May.
    21. Zhou, Wubiao, 2013. "Political connections and entrepreneurial investment: Evidence from China's transition economy," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 299-315.
    22. Kevin Holland, 1998. "Accounting Policy Choice: The Relationship Between Corporate Tax Burdens and Company Size," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3‐4), pages 265-288, April.
    23. Deng, Lu & Jiang, Ping & Li, Sifei & Liao, Mingqing, 2020. "Government intervention and firm investment," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    24. Kevin Holland, 1998. "Accounting Policy Choice: The Relationship Between Corporate Tax Burdens and Company Size," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3&4), pages 265-288.
    25. Wu, Liansheng & Wang, Yaping & Lin, Bing-Xuan & Li, Chen & Chen, Shaw, 2007. "Local tax rebates, corporate tax burdens, and firm migration: Evidence from China," Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 555-583.
    26. Indrarini Laksmana & Ya-wen Yang, 2015. "Product market competition and corporate investment decisions," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(2), pages 128-148, May.
    27. Li, Jianjun & Wu, Zhouyi & Feng, Lingbing, 2024. "How does environmental regulation affect corporate tax burdens? Evidence from China's environmental courts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    28. Wen, Wen & Cui, Huijie & Ke, Yun, 2020. "Directors with foreign experience and corporate tax avoidance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    29. D'Mello, Ranjan & Miranda, Mercedes, 2010. "Long-term debt and overinvestment agency problem," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 324-335, February.
    30. Claessens, Stijn & Feijen, Erik & Laeven, Luc, 2008. "Political connections and preferential access to finance: The role of campaign contributions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 554-580, June.
    31. Li, Hongbin & Zhou, Li-An, 2005. "Political turnover and economic performance: the incentive role of personnel control in China," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(9-10), pages 1743-1762, September.
    32. Xu, Lingling & Huang, Xiaodi & Liu, Guanchun & Liu, Yuanyuan, 2023. "Tax authority enforcement and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    33. Yang Zou, 2006. "Empirical studies on the relationship between public and private investment and GDP growth," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 1259-1270.
    34. MARA FACCIO & RONALD W. MASULIS & JOHN J. McCONNELL, 2006. "Political Connections and Corporate Bailouts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(6), pages 2597-2635, December.
    35. Wei, Xiaoquan & Wang, Chunfei & Guo, Yunnan, 2019. "Does quasi-mandatory dividend rule restrain overinvestment?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 4-23.
    36. Liu, Guanchun & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Chengsi, 2022. "Tax enforcement and corporate employment: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    37. Wu, Fang & Cao, June & Zhang, Xiaosan, 2023. "Do non-executive employees matter in curbing corporate financial fraud?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    38. Chen, Shimin & Sun, Zheng & Tang, Song & Wu, Donghui, 2011. "Government intervention and investment efficiency: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 259-271, April.
    39. Lennox, Clive & Wu, Joanna Shuang, 2022. "A review of China-related accounting research in the past 25 years," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2).
    40. Liguang Zhang & Wanyi Chen & Liao Peng, 2023. "The impact of tax enforcement on corporate investment efficiency: evidence from the tax administration information system," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 1635-1669, June.
    41. Chen, Yunsen & Cui, Chenyu & Yang, Ting & Zhang, Xin, 2020. "Political favouritism and investment efficiency," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    42. Eric Zwick & James Mahon, 2017. "Tax Policy and Heterogeneous Investment Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(1), pages 217-248, January.
    43. Kong, Qunxi & Li, Rongrong & Wang, Ziqi & Peng, Dan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and firm investment decisions: Dilemma or opportunity?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    44. Feng, Chen & Ye, Yongwei & Bai, Caiquan, 2023. "Tax enforcement and corporate financial irregularities: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yu, Xiaojun & Yao, Yao & Zheng, Huanhuan & Zhang, Lin, 2020. "The role of political connection on overinvestment of Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Karami, Gholamreza & Mehrani, Sasan & Beik Boshrouyeh, Salman & Ezadpour, Mostafa & Mohebbi, Masoud & Samavat, Milad, 2024. "Political connections and labor investment efficiency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 568-580.
    3. Widaryanti & Wan Amalina Wan Abdullah, 2024. "Discovering thematic change and evolution of political connections research," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Yue, Shuai & Anderson, Hamish D. & Liao, Jing, 2025. "Who does not advance loses ground: Green investment as a strategic response by small and medium-sized enterprises to economic policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    5. Cao, Jerry & Julio, Brandon & Leng, Tiecheng & Zhou, Sili, 2016. "Political Turnover, Ownership, and Corporate Investment," RIEI Working Papers 2016-06, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration.
    6. Jiacai Xiong & Linghong Chen & Dongwei Su & Kejing Chen, 2025. "Tax Enforcement and Corporate Labor Income Share: Evidence From a Quasi‐Natural Experiment in China," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(7), pages 3959-3975, October.
    7. Chahal, Rishman Jot Kaur & Ahmad, Wasim, 2022. "Political connections, investment inefficiency, and the Indian banking crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 16-30.
    8. Qiankun Gu & Jeong‐Bon Kim & Ke Liao & Yi Si, 2023. "Decentralising for local information? Evidence from state‐owned listed firms in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(5), pages 5245-5276, December.
    9. Zhi Wang & Geert Braam & Daniel Reimsbach & Jiaxin Wang, 2020. "Political embeddedness and firms’ choices of earnings management strategies in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(5), pages 4723-4755, December.
    10. Pan, Yang & Wu, Xihao, 2026. "The role of local governments in tax enforcement and tax avoidance by local state-owned enterprises: evidence from China," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1).
    11. Liu, Guanchun & Hu, May & Cheng, Chen, 2021. "The information transfer effects of political connections on mitigating policy uncertainty: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    12. Liu, Jianhua & Liu, Jingjun & Tang, Zhenyang & Xu, Yue, 2024. "Provincial economic growth and firm excess investment: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    13. Chen, Yinghui & Ren, Ting & Xiao, Youzhi & Yue, Heng, 2025. "De-politicization and corporate risk-taking," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Zhao, Lingxiao & Liu, Xiao & Tang, Yunpeng & Zhang, Wenjing, 2024. "Functional subsidies, selective subsidies and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    15. Xiao Chen & Yutong Sun, 2025. "Tax Enforcement Independence and Firm Related‐Party Transactions: Evidence From a Quasi‐Natural Experiment," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 35(4), pages 357-375, December.
    16. Chin‐Hwa Lu & Chung‐Hua Shen, 2020. "Do networks or performance impact the promotion of Chinese officials? Evidence from prefecture‐level cities," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 539-573, October.
    17. Ma, Xiaofang & Chen, Jun & Dong, Wang & Su, Qiaoling, 2024. "Chief accountants weigh in: How professional leadership of SOEs influence investment efficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    18. Xiao, Gang & Shen, Sichen, 2022. "To pollute or not to pollute: Political connections and corporate environmental performance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Wang, Li & Qin, Dongqian & Pan, Lu, 2025. "The impact of accountability for illegal operation and investment on investment efficiency of SOEs: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 731-748.
    20. Liu, Li & Liu, Qigui & Tian, Gary & Wang, Peipei, 2018. "Government connections and the persistence of profitability: Evidence from Chinese listed firms," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 110-129.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:87:y:2025:i:c:p:1212-1231. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/economic-analysis-and-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.