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Turning up the heat: Extreme heat and labor implications in West Africa

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  • Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr.
  • Kakpo, Ange T.
  • Lokossou, Jourdain C.

Abstract

We examine the impact of extreme heat on household labor allocation using earth observation and microdata from Ghana, Mali, and Nigeria. We find that extreme heat affects household labor in distinct ways with significant cross-country heterogeneities. In Nigeria, extreme heat reduces labor use at the extensive margin but increases labor use at the intensive margin. Notably, child labor rises while adult labor declines at the extensive margin. In Mali, extreme heat leads to an overall increase in household labor, particularly among women and children, whereas Ghana shows minimal impact except for reduced child labor. Both Mali and Nigeria experience decreases in hired labor, animal traction, and associated labor costs under extreme heat exposure. These patterns could be explained by farmers’ adaptive strategies: extreme heat triggers the build-up of pests, weeds, and diseases, which could induce farmers to use more pesticides and engage in manual weeding, which are labor-demanding. Moreover, households rely on climate-resistant crop varieties and cropland expansion, which may require additional labor efforts. These findings underscore the nuanced effects of extreme heat on rural labor markets and the importance of context-specific adaptation strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr. & Kakpo, Ange T. & Lokossou, Jourdain C., 2026. "Turning up the heat: Extreme heat and labor implications in West Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:179:y:2026:i:c:s0304387825002342
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103683
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    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • N30 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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