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Gambling on Bitcoin options?

Author

Listed:
  • Flynn, Matthew
  • Liu, Yifan

Abstract

Bitcoin options have rapidly emerged as a major derivatives market built on an underlying asset characterized by extreme volatility and high levels of speculation. This setting provides a natural environment to study how gambling related preferences influence investor behavior. Specifically, this study examines how state-level gambling propensity drives investor attention to Bitcoin options and affects market outcomes. Through the collection of Google Trends search volumes, we find that local gambling propensity significantly increases attention to Bitcoin options. Exploiting staggered sports betting legalization, we find low-friction gambling substitutes reduce Bitcoin option attention in high-gambling states, consistent with substitution among entertainment venues. Gambling propensity increases option volume, open interest, and preference for out-of-the-money contracts, while attention increases underlying Bitcoin volatility. These findings highlight distinct behavioral channels through which gambling motives and attention shocks influence Bitcoin options and spot markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Flynn, Matthew & Liu, Yifan, 2026. "Gambling on Bitcoin options?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:49:y:2026:i:c:s2214635026000043
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2026.101142
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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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