IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/beexfi/v46y2025ics2214635025000358.html

Inter-industry risk spillovers in the Chinese stock market under epidemic outbreaks

Author

Listed:
  • Feng, Qianqian
  • Shen, Yiran
  • Li, Jianping
  • Sun, Xiaolei

Abstract

This paper reviews six major epidemic outbreaks of the COVID-19 pandemic in China, with a particular focus on downside risk transmission among industry stock indices. Utilizing 136 Wind industry stock indices, this paper constructs marginal spillover networks and extracts transmission pathways during each outbreak, summarizing the risk accumulation and transmission characteristics. Empirical research findings indicate that during the outbreak of the pandemic, market downside risk initially spread in the healthcare sector and related industries such as pharmaceutical retail, life science tools and service. Due to the dual nature of silver as a crucial industrial raw material and a financial instrument, the silver index is more sensitive to the impact of the pandemic than is the gold index. Additionally, owing to variations in functional orientation and industry characteristics across cities, there are differences in downside risk spillovers among stock market industries following the outbreak of the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Qianqian & Shen, Yiran & Li, Jianping & Sun, Xiaolei, 2025. "Inter-industry risk spillovers in the Chinese stock market under epidemic outbreaks," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:46:y:2025:i:c:s2214635025000358
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101054
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214635025000358
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101054?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feng, Qianqian & Wang, Yijing & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping & Guo, Kun & Chen, Jianming, 2023. "What drives cross-border spillovers among sovereign CDS, foreign exchange and stock markets?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    2. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining & Yu, Lining, 2016. "TENET: Tail-Event driven NETwork risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 499-513.
    3. Yao, Yinhong & Li, Jingyu & Chen, Wei, 2024. "Multiscale extreme risk spillovers among the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, and London stock markets: Comparing the impacts of three Stock Connect programs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1217-1233.
    4. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    5. Rigobón, Roberto, 2019. "Contagion, spillover, and interdependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123173, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Apergis, Nicholas & Lau, Chi Keung & Xu, Bing, 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock market liquidity: Fresh evidence on listed Chinese firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Belhadi, Amine & Kamble, Sachin & Jabbour, Charbel Jose Chiappetta & Gunasekaran, Angappa & Ndubisi, Nelson Oly & Venkatesh, Mani, 2021. "Manufacturing and service supply chain resilience to the COVID-19 outbreak: Lessons learned from the automobile and airline industries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Assessing the safe haven property of the gold market during COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Li, Junji & Wang, Rui & Aizhan, Duisebayeva & Karimzade, Mehriban, 2023. "Assessing the impacts of Covid-19 on stock exchange, gold prices, and financial markets: Fresh evidences from econometric analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    10. Hao, Hongchang & Xing, Wanli & Wang, Anjian & Song, Hao & Han, Yawen & Zhao, Pei & Xie, Ziqi & Chen, Xuemei, 2022. "Multi-layer networks research on analyzing supply risk transmission of lithium industry chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Kazancoglu, Yigit & Ekinci, Esra & Mangla, Sachin Kumar & Sezer, Muruvvet Deniz & Ozbiltekin-Pala, Melisa, 2023. "Impact of epidemic outbreaks (COVID-19) on global supply chains: A case of trade between Turkey and China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Wu, JunFeng & Zhang, Chao & Chen, Yun, 2024. "Analysis of tail risk contagion among industry sectors in the Chinese stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Roberto Rigobón, 2019. "Contagion, Spillover, and Interdependence," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 69-99.
    14. Hong, Yun & Jiang, Yanhui & Su, Xiaojian & Deng, Chao, 2024. "Extreme state media reporting and the extreme stock market during COVID-19: A multi-quantile VaR Granger causality approach in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    15. Abuzayed, Bana & Bouri, Elie & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Jalkh, Naji, 2021. "Systemic risk spillover across global and country stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 180-197.
    16. Zhang, Weiping & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian & Lu, Yang, 2020. "Connectedness and systemic risk spillovers analysis of Chinese sectors based on tail risk network," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    17. Li, Jiaqi & Ahn, Hee-Joon, 2024. "Sensitivity of Chinese stock markets to individual investor sentiment: An analysis of Sina Weibo mood related to COVID-19," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    18. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Ahmed, Habib & Husam Helmi, Mohamad, 2023. "Determinants of financial stability and risk transmission in dual financial system: Evidence from the COVID pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Costa, Antonio & Matos, Paulo & da Silva, Cristiano, 2022. "Sectoral connectedness: New evidence from US stock market during COVID-19 pandemics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    20. Mazur, Mieszko & Dang, Man & Vega, Miguel, 2021. "COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    21. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    22. Yi, Shuyue & Xu, Zishuang & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 98-114.
    23. Lang, Chunlin & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg), 2024. "Tail risk connectedness in G7 stock markets: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 and related variants," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    24. Ouyang, Minhua & Xiao, Hailian, 2024. "Tail risk spillovers among Chinese stock market sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    25. Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Okhrin, Yarema, 2019. "Tail event driven networks of SIFIs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 282-298.
    26. Sun, Xiaolei & Wang, Jun & Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jingyu & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Spillovers among sovereign CDS, stock and commodity markets: A correlation network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    27. Ji, Sunan & Zheng, Dazhi & Zhou, Kaiguo, 2025. "Financial risk contagion across markets in China under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    28. Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2004. "CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 367-381, October.
    29. Xiang, Youtao & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2023. "Downside and upside risk spillovers between financial industry and real economy based on linear and nonlinear networks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1337-1374.
    30. Bo Zhu & Renda Lin & Yuanyue Deng & Pingshe Chen & Julien Chevallier, 2021. "Intersectoral systemic risk spillovers between energy and agriculture under the financial and COVID-19 crises," Post-Print halshs-04250285, HAL.
    31. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
    32. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillovers between industries in the US stock market: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic and Black Monday," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    33. Zhang, Xingmin & Fu, Qiang & Lu, Liping & Wang, Qingyu & Zhang, Shuai, 2021. "Bank liquidity creation, network contagion and systemic risk: Evidence from Chinese listed banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    34. Wu, Jianxin & Zhan, Xiaoling & Xu, Hui & Ma, Chunbo, 2023. "The economic impacts of COVID-19 and city lockdown: Early evidence from China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 151-165.
    35. Yao, Yangyang & Cai, Wanhuan & Zhou, Zhongsheng & Zheng, Yifan, 2024. "Integration of manufacturing and services: Examining its effect on resource allocation and manufacturing labor productivity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    36. Huang, Mu-Nan & Lee, Han-Hsing, 2024. "Inter-industry network and credit risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 598-625.
    37. Izzeldin, Marwan & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Pappas, Vasileios & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on G7 stock markets volatility: Evidence from a ST-HAR model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    38. Jozef Baruník & Tomáš Křehlík, 2018. "Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 271-296.
    39. Sharif, Arshian & Aloui, Chaker & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market, geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty nexus in the US economy: Fresh evidence from the wavelet-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    40. Zhu, Bo & Lin, Renda & Deng, Yuanyue & Chen, Pingshe & Chevallier, Julien, 2021. "Intersectoral systemic risk spillovers between energy and agriculture under the financial and COVID-19 crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    41. Chen, Yufeng & Xu, Jing & Miao, Jiafeng, 2023. "Dynamic volatility contagion across the Baltic dry index, iron ore price and crude oil price under the COVID-19: A copula-VAR-BEKK-GARCH-X approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Muhammad Tahir Suleman & Umaid A Sheikh & Emilios C. Galariotis & David Roubaud, 2025. "The impact of bitcoin fear and greed on good and bad network connectedness: the case of the US sectoral high frequency returns," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 347(1), pages 633-677, April.
    2. Kamal, Md Mostafa & Roca, Eduardo & Li, Bin & Lin, Chen & Reza, Rajibur, 2025. "Price contagion and risk spillover in the global commodities market: COVID-19 pandemic vs. global financial crisis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    3. Zaheer Anwer & Ashraf Khan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2025. "Modelling systemic risk of energy and non-energy commodity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 1193-1227, February.
    4. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xiong, Lu & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi & Foglia, Matteo, 2022. "Multilayer network analysis of investor sentiment and stock returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    5. Li, Yanshuang & Shi, Yujie & Shi, Yongdong & Xiong, Xiong & Yi, Shangkun, 2024. "Time-frequency extreme risk spillovers between COVID-19 news-based panic sentiment and stock market volatility in the multi-layer network: Evidence from the RCEP countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Gabauer, David & Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha, 2024. "Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time–frequency connectedness approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 121-139.
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Gul, Raazia & Arfaoui, Nadia & Bakry, Walid & Bhatti, Muhammad Ishaq, 2025. "Riding the storm: AI-driven spillover effects across technology, commodities, and conventional markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Wang, Gang-Jin & Chen, Yang-Yang & Si, Hui-Bin & Xie, Chi & Chevallier, Julien, 2021. "Multilayer information spillover networks analysis of China’s financial institutions based on variance decompositions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 325-347.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Ojonugwa Usman & Busra Agan, 2024. "On the connectedness of commodity markets: A critical and selective survey of empirical studies and bibliometric analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 97-136, February.
    10. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Caliskan Terzioglu, Hande & Kilic, Yunus & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Dibooglu, Sel, 2024. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk: Evidence from global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Ouyang, Minhua & Xiao, Hailian, 2024. "Tail risk spillovers among Chinese stock market sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    12. Lang, Chunlin & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg), 2024. "Tail risk connectedness in G7 stock markets: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 and related variants," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    13. Xiaoye Jin, 2025. "Extreme Risk Connectedness in China’s Stock Market: Fresh Insights from Time-Varying General Dynamic Factor Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(3), pages 1877-1909, September.
    14. Thai Hung, Ngo & Nguyen, Linh Thi My & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2022. "Exchange rate volatility connectedness during Covid-19 outbreak: DECO-GARCH and Transfer Entropy approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    15. Bhattacherjee, Purba & Mishra, Sibanjan & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Extreme time-frequency connectedness across U.S. sector stock and commodity futures markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1176-1197.
    16. Ren, Yinghua & Zhao, Wanru & You, Wanhai & Zhu, Huiming, 2022. "Multiscale features of extreme risk spillover networks among global stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hamouda, Foued & Karim, Sitara & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Return and volatility spillovers among global assets: Comparing health crisis with geopolitical crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 557-575.
    18. Liu, Zixin & Hu, Jun & Zhang, Shuguang & He, Zhipeng, 2024. "Risk spillovers among oil, gold, stock, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from G20 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Liang, Ruibin & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2025. "Asymmetric impact of global crude oil on Chinese sectors and optimal portfolio strategies: An analysis of the higher-order moment tail risk spillovers," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Fei Su & Lili Zhai & Yunyan Zhou & Zixi Zhuang & Feifan Wang, 2024. "Risk contagion in financial markets: A systematic review using bibliometric methods," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 163-199, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:46:y:2025:i:c:s2214635025000358. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-behavioral-and-experimental-finance .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.