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Physically-bounded distributionally robust chance-constrained dispatch approach for power system with renewable power-to-ammonia

Author

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  • Wu, Tianhao
  • Jiang, Yuning
  • Cui, Simeng
  • Li, Zhengmao
  • Wang, Sheng
  • Zhai, Junyi

Abstract

Renewable power-to-ammonia (RePtA) has gained significant attention in recent years, as green ammonia is increasingly acknowledged as a sustainable, zero-carbon fuel. Meanwhile, distributionally robust optimization has become a popular method to address uncertainties in energy systems. However, the general reformulation approach for the distributionally robust model may lead to either a suboptimal solution or one that is excessively conservative. In this context, this paper presents a physically-bounded distributionally robust chance-constrained (DRCC) dispatch approach with the exact reformulation for power systems with RePtA. First, a comprehensive RePtA model incorporating the production, storage, and utilization of green hydrogen and green ammonia is embedded in the electro–hydrogen–ammonia coupled system. Then, an improved metric-based ambiguity set is introduced by enforcing physical bounds on the uncertainty of wind power while preserving the exactness, resulting in a bilinear optimization problem. Finally, an iterative alternating minimization algorithm is specifically designed to decrease solution conservatism by adjusting the resulting physically-bounded exact bilinear optimization model. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Tianhao & Jiang, Yuning & Cui, Simeng & Li, Zhengmao & Wang, Sheng & Zhai, Junyi, 2026. "Physically-bounded distributionally robust chance-constrained dispatch approach for power system with renewable power-to-ammonia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:402:y:2026:i:pb:s0306261925017027
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126972
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