IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v402y2026ipbs0306261925017015.html

Harvesting spatial-temporal load migration flexibility of data centers: A chance-constrained bi-level optimization model with endogenously formed risk-reflective locational prices

Author

Listed:
  • Ye, Yujian
  • Ma, Ding
  • Wu, Yizhi
  • Hu, Heng
  • Zhang, Xi
  • Liu, Chuan
  • Xu, Dezhi

Abstract

Despite data centers (DCs) exhibit significant spatial-temporal load migration flexibility potentials, adequate utilization of which necessitates efficient coordination between the operation of DCs and the power system, namely electricity-computation co-optimization (ECC). However, existing ECC studies typically adopt either a DC operator or power system perspective, overlooking their holistic operational coordination. Uncertainties stemmed from both computation workload of DCs and renewable power source (RES) and load of power systems are not fully encapsulated in the ECC model. Furthermore, neglection of uncertainties results in inadequate formation of locational prices which do not reflect operational risks, hindering effective guidance and thus exploitation of DC load spatial-temporal migration flexibility. To fill the above research gaps, this paper proposes a chance-constrained bi-level ECC model which coordinates the operator’s business model of geo-distributed DCs, and dispatch model of power system in a coupled fashion. A generic DC model is developed to account for heterogeneity in cooling methodologies, thermal power exchange, and spatial-temporal load migration flexibility for DCs. Risk-reflective locational marginal prices are endogenously formed in the ECC model by linking risk probabilities to price signals via chance constraint dual variables. The bi-level model is reformulated into a second-order conic program, transformed via Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions into a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints, and solved as a mixed-integer quadratic program using strong duality. Case studies on the IEEE 118-bus system quantifies the value of harvesting DC spatial-temporal load migration flexibility, demonstrating its increasing trend with the extent of operational uncertainties. In face of both DC- and grid-side uncertainties, a win-win outcome involving 8.23 % profit gain for DC operator and 27.92 % cost shaving for power system is witnessed, respectively. More efficient power system operation exploiting DC flexibility also results in alleviation of transmission congestion (and thus removal of locational price discrepancies), enhanced RES utilization and reduced carbon emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ye, Yujian & Ma, Ding & Wu, Yizhi & Hu, Heng & Zhang, Xi & Liu, Chuan & Xu, Dezhi, 2026. "Harvesting spatial-temporal load migration flexibility of data centers: A chance-constrained bi-level optimization model with endogenously formed risk-reflective locational prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:402:y:2026:i:pb:s0306261925017015
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126971
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261925017015
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126971?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zeng, Bo & Zhou, Yinyu & Xu, Xinzhu & Cai, Danting, 2024. "Bi-level planning approach for incorporating the demand-side flexibility of cloud data centers under electricity-carbon markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    2. Liu, Wenyu & Yan, Yuejun & Sun, Yimeng & Mao, Hongju & Cheng, Ming & Wang, Peng & Ding, Zhaohao, 2023. "Online job scheduling scheme for low-carbon data center operation: An information and energy nexus perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    3. Chen, Sirui & Li, Peng & Ji, Haoran & Yu, Hao & Yan, Jinyue & Wu, Jianzhong & Wang, Chengshan, 2021. "Operational flexibility of active distribution networks with the potential from data centers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    4. Cao, Yujie & Cheng, Ming & Zhang, Sufang & Mao, Hongju & Wang, Peng & Li, Chao & Feng, Yihui & Ding, Zhaohao, 2022. "Data-driven flexibility assessment for internet data center towards periodic batch workloads," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    5. Liu, Haoyu & Ye, Yujian & Wang, Hongru & Zhang, Cun & Huang, Qilin & Huang, Di & Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Dezhi & Strbac, Goran, 2025. "Spatiotemporal coordination of electric vehicle traffic and energy flows in coupled power-transportation networks with multiple energy replenishment and vehicle-to-grid strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 396(C).
    6. Nikzad, Mehdi & Samimi, Abouzar, 2021. "Integration of designing price-based demand response models into a stochastic bi-level scheduling of multiple energy carrier microgrids considering energy storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    7. Zheng, Yi & Wang, Jiawei & You, Shi & Li, Ximei & Bindner, Henrik W. & Münster, Marie, 2023. "Data-driven scheme for optimal day-ahead operation of a wind/hydrogen system under multiple uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 329(C).
    8. Huang, Pei & Copertaro, Benedetta & Zhang, Xingxing & Shen, Jingchun & Löfgren, Isabelle & Rönnelid, Mats & Fahlen, Jan & Andersson, Dan & Svanfeldt, Mikael, 2020. "A review of data centers as prosumers in district energy systems: Renewable energy integration and waste heat reuse for district heating," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    9. Cao, Yujie & Cao, Fang & Wang, Yajing & Wang, Jianxiao & Wu, Lei & Ding, Zhaohao, 2024. "Managing data center cluster as non-wire alternative: A case in balancing market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    10. Li, Weiwei & Qian, Tong & Zhang, Yin & Shen, Yueqing & Wu, Chenghu & Tang, Wenhu, 2023. "Distributionally robust chance-constrained planning for regional integrated electricity–heat systems with data centers considering wind power uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xue, Lin & Wang, Jianxue & Li, Haotian & Yong, Weizhen & Zhang, Yao, 2025. "Online energy conservation scheduling for geo-distributed data centers with hybrid data-driven and knowledge-driven approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    2. Han, Ouzhu & Ding, Tao & Yang, Miao & Jia, Wenhao & He, Xinran & Ma, Zhoujun, 2024. "A novel 4-level joint optimal dispatch for demand response of data centers with district autonomy realization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    3. Guo, Haijin & Yu, Hang & Wang, Meng & Liu, Cheng & Li, Chaoen, 2025. "Integrated management of workloads and energy system for data centers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    4. Zhu, Yiqun & Zhang, Quan & Huang, Gongsheng & Wang, Jiaqiang & Zou, Sikai & Ee, Yit Jing & Sopian, Kamaruzzaman, 2025. "Research on collaborative control strategy of cold storage and IT workload migration in data center," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    5. Sun, Jingjun & Yan, Yuejun & Wang, Zhaoyang & Ma, Jiahao & Wang, Yi, 2025. "Privacy-preserving coordinated operation of cross-enterprise data centers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
    6. Wang, Songjie & Xiang, Duo & Zhong, Wei & Lin, Xiaojie & Chen, Shuqin, 2025. "A multi-objective bilevel planning for data center integrated energy systems with waste heat utilization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    7. Zhou, Yongcheng & Wei, Fanchao & Li, Shuangxiu & Wang, Zhonghao & Liu, Jinfu & Yu, Daren, 2025. "Data center load modeling through optimal energy consumption characteristics: A path to simultaneously enhance energy efficiency and demand response quality," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 393(C).
    8. Ravi, Sai Sudharshan & Löffler, Theresa Sophie & Pina, Eduardo Antonio & Sharma, Shivom & Lepour, Dorsan & Terrier, Cedric & Maréchal, François, 2026. "From servers to services: modeling data centers as heat-active urban energy prosumers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PB).
    9. Bian, Yifan & Xie, Lirong & Ma, Lan & Cui, Chuanshi, 2025. "A novel two-stage energy sharing model for data center cluster considering integrated demand response of multiple loads," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 384(C).
    10. Cao, Yujie & Cao, Fang & Wang, Yajing & Wang, Jianxiao & Wu, Lei & Ding, Zhaohao, 2024. "Managing data center cluster as non-wire alternative: A case in balancing market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    11. Xiao, Jiang-Wen & Yang, Yan-Bing & Cui, Shichang & Wang, Yan-Wu, 2023. "Cooperative online schedule of interconnected data center microgrids with shared energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    12. Cao, Yujie & Zhang, Sufang, 2023. "Facilitating the provision of load flexibility to the power system by data centers: A hybrid research method applied to China," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Wang, Yongzhen & Lin, Jiayu & Han, Yibo & Han, Kai & Han, Juntao & Han, Te & Wei, Yiming, 2025. "Comprehensive evaluation of all-element flexibility resources in data centers: considering synergistic benefits of computing, electricity, and heat," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 399(C).
    14. Liu, Xiaoou, 2024. "Research on collaborative scheduling of internet data center and regional integrated energy system based on electricity-heat-water coupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    15. Zhao, Jian & Huang, Keran & Gao, Yuan & Bian, Xiaoyan & Zhang, Kai & Li, Dongdong & Cui, Haoyang, 2025. "Coordinated scheduling optimization for Computility center microgrid considering computing resources dynamic pooling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 393(C).
    16. Wang, Zhiying & Wang, Yang & Ji, Haoran & Hasanien, Hany M. & Zhao, Jinli & Yu, Lei & He, Jiafeng & Yu, Hao & Li, Peng, 2024. "Distributionally robust planning for data center park considering operational economy and reliability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    17. Fan, Junqiu & Yan, Rujing & He, Yu & Zhang, Jing & Zhao, Weixing & Liu, Mingshun & An, Su & Ma, Qingfeng, 2025. "Stochastic optimization of combined energy and computation task scheduling strategies of hybrid system with multi-energy storage system and data center," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    18. Liu, Wenyu & Yan, Yuejun & Sun, Yimeng & Mao, Hongju & Cheng, Ming & Wang, Peng & Ding, Zhaohao, 2023. "Online job scheduling scheme for low-carbon data center operation: An information and energy nexus perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    19. Lei Su & Wenxiang Wu & Wanli Feng & Junda Qin & Yuqi Ao, 2024. "Collaborative Planning of Distribution Network, Data Centres and Renewable Energy in the Power Distribution IoT via Interval Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-26, July.
    20. Zhao, Baining & Qian, Tong & Li, Weiwei & Xin, Yanli & Zhao, Wei & Lin, Zekang & Tang, Wenhu & Jin, Xin & Cao, Wangzhang & Pan, Tingzhe, 2024. "Fast distributed co-optimization of electricity and natural gas systems hedging against wind fluctuation and uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:402:y:2026:i:pb:s0306261925017015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.