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Comparison of subsidy schemes for carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) investment based on real option approach: Evidence from China

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  • Yang, Lin
  • Xu, Mao
  • Yang, Yuantao
  • Fan, Jingli
  • Zhang, Xian

Abstract

This study adopts the real option approach to compare the impacts of different subsidy schemes, including initial investment subsidy, electricity tariff subsidy, and CO2 utilization subsidy, on the investment benefit of carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) project in China under high, medium, and low coal price levels, respectively. The results show that: (1) Under the current oil price level (70 USD/bbl), CO2 utilization subsidy referring to the 45Q Tax Credit released by the US government is high enough to trigger the investment behavior immediately. However, the full initial investment subsidy needs to be replenished with other ways and the electricity tariff subsidy needs to increase by 2.6 times compared with the current subsidy for renewable energy (0.019 CNY/kWh). (2) The critical oil prices under full investment subsidy and electricity tariff subsidy need to increase by at least 2.7% and 14.1%, respectively. (3) Both electricity tariff subsidy and CO2 utilization subsidy are feasible, while the former need to exceed the current subsidy for renewable energy and the latter is more favorable in promoting the development of full-chain CCUS project and the increase of oil production. (4) The optimal investment timing can be brought forward to 2023 if the technological learning rate reaches 30% under the low coal price level; the investors should abandon the project until the technological learning rates reach 5% and 10% under the medium and high coal price levels, respectively. Overall, our results enable to provide useful information for the policy-makers to formulate subsidy policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Lin & Xu, Mao & Yang, Yuantao & Fan, Jingli & Zhang, Xian, 2019. "Comparison of subsidy schemes for carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) investment based on real option approach: Evidence from China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:255:y:2019:i:c:s0306261919315156
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113828
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Changwan Gu & Jingjing Xie & Xiaoyu Li & Xu Gao, 2023. "Levelized Cost Analysis for Blast Furnace CO 2 Capture, Utilization, and Storage Retrofit in China’s Blast Furnace–Basic Oxygen Furnace Steel Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-20, November.
    2. Xianlei Chen & Manqi Wang & Bin Wang & Huadong Hao & Haolei Shi & Zenan Wu & Junxue Chen & Limei Gai & Hengcong Tao & Baikang Zhu & Bohong Wang, 2023. "Energy Consumption Reduction and Sustainable Development for Oil & Gas Transport and Storage Engineering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, February.
    3. Shi, Jingxin & Huang, Wenping & Han, Hongjun & Xu, Chunyan, 2021. "Pollution control of wastewater from the coal chemical industry in China: Environmental management policy and technical standards," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    4. Yang, Lin & Lv, Haodong & Wei, Ning & Li, Yiming & Zhang, Xian, 2023. "Dynamic optimization of carbon capture technology deployment targeting carbon neutrality, cost efficiency and water stress: Evidence from China's electric power sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Liu, Feng & Lv, Tao & Meng, Yuan & Li, Cong & Hou, Xiaoran & Xu, Jie & Deng, Xu, 2023. "Potential analysis of BESS and CCUS in the context of China's carbon trading scheme toward the low-carbon electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 462-471.
    6. Tan, Zhizhou & Zeng, Xianhai & Lin, Boqiang, 2023. "How do multiple policy incentives influence investors’ decisions on biomass co-firing combined with carbon capture and storage retrofit projects for coal-fired power plants?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    7. Yang, Lin & Xu, Mao & Fan, Jingli & Liang, Xi & Zhang, Xian & Lv, Haodong & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Financing coal-fired power plant to demonstrate CCS (carbon capture and storage) through an innovative policy incentive in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Feng Liu & Yihang Wei & Yu Du & Tao Lv, 2022. "Mechanism and Influencing Factors of Low-Carbon Coal Power Transition under China’s Carbon Trading Scheme: An Evolutionary Game Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, December.
    9. Ma, Chunyan & Wang, Nan & Chen, Yifeng & Khokarale, Santosh Govind & Bui, Thai Q. & Weiland, Fredrik & Lestander, Torbjörn A. & Rudolfsson, Magnus & Mikkola, Jyri-Pekka & Ji, Xiaoyan, 2020. "Towards negative carbon emissions: Carbon capture in bio-syngas from gasification by aqueous pentaethylenehexamine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    10. Chen, Siyuan & Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Teng, Fei & McLellan, Benjamin C., 2022. "A critical review on deployment planning and risk analysis of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) toward carbon neutrality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    11. Pavel Tcvetkov, 2021. "Climate Policy Imbalance in the Energy Sector: Time to Focus on the Value of CO 2 Utilization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-22, January.
    12. Turner, Karen & Race, Julia & Alabi, Oluwafisayo & Katris, Antonios & Swales, J. Kim, 2021. "Policy options for funding carbon capture in regional industrial clusters: What are the impacts and trade-offs involved in compensating industry competitiveness loss?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    13. Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & Chen, Siyuan & Teng, Fei, 2022. "Investment decision on carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies—A real option model based on technology learning effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    14. Li, Jingjing & Jiao, Jianling & Tang, Yunshu, 2020. "Analysis of the impact of policies intervention on electric vehicles adoption considering information transmission—based on consumer network model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    15. Chi-Wei Su & Yannong Xie & Sadaf Shahab & Ch. Muhammad Nadeem Faisal & Muhammad Hafeez & Ghulam Muhammad Qamri, 2021. "Towards Achieving Sustainable Development: Role of Technology Innovation, Technology Adoption and CO 2 Emission for BRICS," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-13, January.
    16. Liu, Bingsheng & Liu, Song & Xue, Bin & Lu, Shijian & Yang, Yang, 2021. "Formalizing an integrated decision-making model for the risk assessment of carbon capture, utilization, and storage projects: From a sustainability perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    17. Qian Zhang & Yunjia Wang & Lu Liu, 2023. "Carbon Tax or Low-Carbon Subsidy? Carbon Reduction Policy Options under CCUS Investment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-26, March.
    18. Araya, Natalia & Ramírez, Yendery & Cisternas, Luis A. & Kraslawski, Andrzej, 2021. "Use of real options to enhance water-energy nexus in mine tailings management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    19. Guo, Jian & Zhong, Minghao & Chen, Shuran, 2022. "Analysis and simulation of BECCS vertical integration model in China based on evolutionary game and system dynamics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    20. Zheng Liu & Wenzhuo Sun, 2023. "Study on Low-Carbon Technology Investment Strategies for High Energy-Consuming Enterprises under the Health Co-Benefits of Carbon Emission Reduction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, May.
    21. Martine Van den Boomen & Sjoerd Van der Meulen & Jonathan Van Ekris & Roel Spanjers & Olle Ten Voorde & Janwim Mulder & Peter Blommaart, 2021. "Optimized Expansion Strategy for a Hydrogen Pipe Network in the Port of Rotterdam with Compound Real Options Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    22. Hanne Lamberts-Van Assche & Tine Compernolle, 2022. "Using Real Options Thinking to Value Investment Flexibility in Carbon Capture and Utilization Projects: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-24, February.
    23. Wang, Yadong & Mao, Jinqi & Chen, Fan & Wang, Delu, 2022. "Uncovering the dynamics and uncertainties of substituting coal power with renewable energy resources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 669-686.
    24. Wang, Peng-Tao & Wei, Yi-Ming & Yang, Bo & Li, Jia-Quan & Kang, Jia-Ning & Liu, Lan-Cui & Yu, Bi-Ying & Hou, Yun-Bing & Zhang, Xian, 2020. "Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector: Optimal planning under the 2 °C constraint," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    25. Ouyang, Yiling & Guo, Jian, 2022. "Carbon capture and storage investment strategy towards the dual carbon goals," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

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