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Definitions and characteristics of soft patches in the euro area


  • Duma, Mattia
  • Forsells, Magnus
  • Kennedy, Neale


This box looks at periods of slowdowns during a number of euro area expansionary phases – so-called soft patches – and assesses whether these contain any information with regard to forthcoming business cycle peaks and possible subsequent recessions. JEL Classification: E32, E66

Suggested Citation

  • Duma, Mattia & Forsells, Magnus & Kennedy, Neale, 2019. "Definitions and characteristics of soft patches in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2019:0004:3
    Note: 339042

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    Cited by:

    1. Byrne, David & Parle, Conor, 2019. "Euro Area Slowdown - a Country-Sector Analysis," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 149-163, July.

    More about this item


    business cycles; Growth; soft patches;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions


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