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The impact of recent shocks and ongoing structural changes on euro area productivity growth

Author

Listed:
  • Lopez-Garcia, Paloma
  • Modery, Wolfgang
  • Lalinsky, Tibor
  • Bijnens, Gert
  • Anghel, Brindusa
  • Bunel, Simon
  • Valderrama, Maria

Abstract

Recent shocks such as the pandemic and the energy shock triggered by Russia’s unjustified war against Ukraine have interacted with other structural changes, including the green and digital transitions, leading to an uncertain impact on the medium-term productivity prospects of the euro area. This article summarises the key results of recent work on productivity by a group of experts from the European System of Central Banks (ESCB). The analysis builds on previous work undertaken in the context of the ECB monetary policy strategy review. JEL Classification: D24, E24, J24, J38, O33, O38, O47, Q54, Q58

Suggested Citation

  • Lopez-Garcia, Paloma & Modery, Wolfgang & Lalinsky, Tibor & Bijnens, Gert & Anghel, Brindusa & Bunel, Simon & Valderrama, Maria, 2024. "The impact of recent shocks and ongoing structural changes on euro area productivity growth," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbart:2024:0002:1
    Note: 2648086
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; digitalisation; pandemic; Productivity; public policies; shocks and structural trends;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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