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The euro area housing market during the COVID-19 pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Battistini, Niccolò
  • Falagiarda, Matteo
  • Gareis, Johannes
  • Hackmann, Angelina
  • Roma, Moreno

Abstract

This article reviews the developments in the euro area housing market during the various phases of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and compares them with previous crises. During the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the introduction of mandatory and voluntary restrictions on economic agents’ mobility had a strong impact on housing market activity. However, in contrast to the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis, the upward trend in house prices and housing loans continued unabated, which was also thanks to resilient demand for housing by households. During the second and third waves, the forceful support of monetary, fiscal and macroprudential policy measures amid more targeted containment measures ensured favourable financing conditions and helped increase the attractiveness of housing for investment purposes, while supply-side bottlenecks may have exerted some upward pressure on house prices. The outlook for the euro area housing market remains dependent on uncertainties related to pandemic developments, policy support and structural changes. JEL Classification: E22, E31, E32, R31

Suggested Citation

  • Battistini, Niccolò & Falagiarda, Matteo & Gareis, Johannes & Hackmann, Angelina & Roma, Moreno, 2021. "The euro area housing market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 7.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbart:2021:0007:3
    Note: 2438814
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/economic-bulletin/articles/2021/html/ecb.ebart202107_03~36493e7b67.en.html
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hafemann, Lucas, 2023. "A house prices at risk approach for the German residential real estate market," Technical Papers 07/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
    3. Raul-Tomas Mora-Garcia & Maria-Francisca Cespedes-Lopez & V. Raul Perez-Sanchez, 2022. "Housing Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithms in COVID-19 Times," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-32, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19 pandemic; Housing market; Policy support measures;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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